Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate a daily maximum near 30–32°C for Karachi on August 6, driven by persistent monsoon cloud cover, light rain or drizzle potential, and moderating sea breezes from the Arabian Sea that limit daytime heating. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with current conditions showing partly cloudy skies and highs in that range on August 5. These factors position 32°C and 33°C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 30.5% and 52%, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus rather than hotter outliers above 34°C. Updated official guidance or revised model runs ahead of resolution could shift probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日卡拉奇的最高温度?
33°C 52%
32°C 31%
34℃ 15%
31°C 5%
$10,333 交易量
$10,333 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
31%
33°C
52%
34℃
15%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
33°C 52%
32°C 31%
34℃ 15%
31°C 5%
$10,333 交易量
$10,333 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
31%
33°C
52%
34℃
15%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate a daily maximum near 30–32°C for Karachi on August 6, driven by persistent monsoon cloud cover, light rain or drizzle potential, and moderating sea breezes from the Arabian Sea that limit daytime heating. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with current conditions showing partly cloudy skies and highs in that range on August 5. These factors position 32°C and 33°C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 30.5% and 52%, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus rather than hotter outliers above 34°C. Updated official guidance or revised model runs ahead of resolution could shift probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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