Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency place Tokyo’s minimum temperature for August 6 at 24°C, aligning with the daily normal of 23.9°C and recent overnight lows of 23–25°C amid persistent midsummer conditions. Highs are expected near 31–33°C under a stable, humid airmass with limited radiative cooling or frontal activity to drive further drops. This consensus, reinforced by climatological averages of 24°C for peak summer, underpins the market’s 98% implied probability on 24°C. Unlikely shifts could occur from localized measurement variations at official stations, an unanticipated late-day front, or revised model runs showing stronger nocturnal cooling, though current guidance shows no such signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日东京气温最低？
8月6日东京气温最低？
24°C 98%
22°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
20°C或以下 <1%
最新
$11,236 交易量
最新
$11,236 交易量
2026-08-06
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
98%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
24°C 98%
22°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
20°C或以下 <1%
最新
$11,236 交易量
最新
$11,236 交易量
2026-08-06
20°C或以下
$374 交易量
<1%
21°C
$688 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,144 交易量
1%
23°C
$1,161 交易量
1%
24°C
$1,092 交易量
98%
25°C
$2,305 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,170 交易量
<1%
27°C
$949 交易量
<1%
28°C
$677 交易量
<1%
29°C
$342 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$334 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency place Tokyo’s minimum temperature for August 6 at 24°C, aligning with the daily normal of 23.9°C and recent overnight lows of 23–25°C amid persistent midsummer conditions. Highs are expected near 31–33°C under a stable, humid airmass with limited radiative cooling or frontal activity to drive further drops. This consensus, reinforced by climatological averages of 24°C for peak summer, underpins the market’s 98% implied probability on 24°C. Unlikely shifts could occur from localized measurement variations at official stations, an unanticipated late-day front, or revised model runs showing stronger nocturnal cooling, though current guidance shows no such signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$11,236结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency place Tokyo’s minimum temperature for August 6 at 24°C, aligning with the daily normal of 23.9°C and recent overnight lows of 23–25°C amid persistent midsummer conditions. Highs are expected near 31–33°C under a stable, humid airmass with limited radiative cooling or frontal activity to drive further drops. This consensus, reinforced by climatological averages of 24°C for peak summer, underpins the market’s 98% implied probability on 24°C. Unlikely shifts could occur from localized measurement variations at official stations, an unanticipated late-day front, or revised model runs showing stronger nocturnal cooling, though current guidance shows no such signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,236结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency place Tokyo’s minimum temperature for August 6 at 24°C, aligning with the daily normal of 23.9°C and recent overnight lows of 23–25°C amid persistent midsummer conditions. Highs are expected near 31–33°C under a stable, humid airmass with limited radiative cooling or frontal activity to drive further drops. This consensus, reinforced by climatological averages of 24°C for peak summer, underpins the market’s 98% implied probability on 24°C. Unlikely shifts could occur from localized measurement variations at official stations, an unanticipated late-day front, or revised model runs showing stronger nocturnal cooling, though current guidance shows no such signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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