Recent model consensus and observed trends point to a highest temperature near or slightly above the 83.5°F August 7 normal for Chicago, with trader positioning favoring 84–87°F amid uncertainty from short-range variability. Key drivers include a relatively benign synoptic pattern with moderate southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover or convective inhibition allowing strong daytime heating, and the moderating influence of Lake Michigan, where onshore lake breezes can suppress inland maxima by several degrees depending on timing and strength. Historical analogs show early-August highs typically cluster in the low-to-mid 80s absent strong ridging or dry downslope winds, while ensemble spread in guidance highlights sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Updated NWS and model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥8月7日最高气温？
芝加哥8月7日最高气温？
86-87°F 38%
84-85华氏度 32%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
75华氏度或以下
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
12%
84-85华氏度
32%
86-87°F
38%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94°F或更高
<1%
86-87°F 38%
84-85华氏度 32%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
75华氏度或以下
$198 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$393 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$86 交易量
4%
80-81°F
$3 交易量
3%
82-83°F
$63 交易量
12%
84-85华氏度
$108 交易量
32%
86-87°F
$317 交易量
38%
88-89°F
$64 交易量
16%
90-91°F
$83 交易量
4%
92-93°F
$52 交易量
1%
94°F或更高
$80 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and observed trends point to a highest temperature near or slightly above the 83.5°F August 7 normal for Chicago, with trader positioning favoring 84–87°F amid uncertainty from short-range variability. Key drivers include a relatively benign synoptic pattern with moderate southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover or convective inhibition allowing strong daytime heating, and the moderating influence of Lake Michigan, where onshore lake breezes can suppress inland maxima by several degrees depending on timing and strength. Historical analogs show early-August highs typically cluster in the low-to-mid 80s absent strong ridging or dry downslope winds, while ensemble spread in guidance highlights sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Updated NWS and model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$1,447结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and observed trends point to a highest temperature near or slightly above the 83.5°F August 7 normal for Chicago, with trader positioning favoring 84–87°F amid uncertainty from short-range variability. Key drivers include a relatively benign synoptic pattern with moderate southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover or convective inhibition allowing strong daytime heating, and the moderating influence of Lake Michigan, where onshore lake breezes can suppress inland maxima by several degrees depending on timing and strength. Historical analogs show early-August highs typically cluster in the low-to-mid 80s absent strong ridging or dry downslope winds, while ensemble spread in guidance highlights sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Updated NWS and model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,447结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent model consensus and observed trends point to a highest temperature near or slightly above the 83.5°F August 7 normal for Chicago, with trader positioning favoring 84–87°F amid uncertainty from short-range variability. Key drivers include a relatively benign synoptic pattern with moderate southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover or convective inhibition allowing strong daytime heating, and the moderating influence of Lake Michigan, where onshore lake breezes can suppress inland maxima by several degrees depending on timing and strength. Historical analogs show early-August highs typically cluster in the low-to-mid 80s absent strong ridging or dry downslope winds, while ensemble spread in guidance highlights sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Updated NWS and model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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