Southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and associated cloud cover with scattered showers are the dominant drivers keeping Manila’s peak temperature on August 8 anchored near 28–30 °C. PAGASA forecasts for the date show a daytime high around 29 °C under continued moist southwesterly flow, which reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon heating below the month’s climatological average near 31 °C. Model consensus indicates persistent rain chances and limited diurnal warming, mirroring conditions that positioned 29 °C as the modal outcome for the preceding day. With the market-implied probability highest at 29 °C (46 %), traders are pricing in these monsoon-suppressed readings while assigning lower odds to 30 °C or above if clearer breaks develop. Updated PAGASA briefings and next-model runs will be the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日马尼拉气温最高？
8月8日马尼拉气温最高？
29°C 49%
28°C 29%
30°C 18%
27°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
29%
29°C
49%
30°C
18%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34℃或更高
<1%
29°C 49%
28°C 29%
30°C 18%
27°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
24°C或以下
$500 交易量
<1%
25°C
$466 交易量
<1%
26°C
$521 交易量
1%
27°C
$544 交易量
3%
28°C
$2,052 交易量
29%
29°C
$1,398 交易量
49%
30°C
$1,049 交易量
18%
31°C
$1,174 交易量
3%
32°C
$414 交易量
1%
33°C
$533 交易量
<1%
34℃或更高
$618 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and associated cloud cover with scattered showers are the dominant drivers keeping Manila’s peak temperature on August 8 anchored near 28–30 °C. PAGASA forecasts for the date show a daytime high around 29 °C under continued moist southwesterly flow, which reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon heating below the month’s climatological average near 31 °C. Model consensus indicates persistent rain chances and limited diurnal warming, mirroring conditions that positioned 29 °C as the modal outcome for the preceding day. With the market-implied probability highest at 29 °C (46 %), traders are pricing in these monsoon-suppressed readings while assigning lower odds to 30 °C or above if clearer breaks develop. Updated PAGASA briefings and next-model runs will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$9,268结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and associated cloud cover with scattered showers are the dominant drivers keeping Manila’s peak temperature on August 8 anchored near 28–30 °C. PAGASA forecasts for the date show a daytime high around 29 °C under continued moist southwesterly flow, which reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon heating below the month’s climatological average near 31 °C. Model consensus indicates persistent rain chances and limited diurnal warming, mirroring conditions that positioned 29 °C as the modal outcome for the preceding day. With the market-implied probability highest at 29 °C (46 %), traders are pricing in these monsoon-suppressed readings while assigning lower odds to 30 °C or above if clearer breaks develop. Updated PAGASA briefings and next-model runs will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,268结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSouthwest monsoon (habagat) activity and associated cloud cover with scattered showers are the dominant drivers keeping Manila’s peak temperature on August 8 anchored near 28–30 °C. PAGASA forecasts for the date show a daytime high around 29 °C under continued moist southwesterly flow, which reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon heating below the month’s climatological average near 31 °C. Model consensus indicates persistent rain chances and limited diurnal warming, mirroring conditions that positioned 29 °C as the modal outcome for the preceding day. With the market-implied probability highest at 29 °C (46 %), traders are pricing in these monsoon-suppressed readings while assigning lower odds to 30 °C or above if clearer breaks develop. Updated PAGASA briefings and next-model runs will be the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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