Latest National Weather Service forecasts indicate showers likely on August 5, with daytime highs near 78°F, as increased cloud cover and moisture limit solar insolation and suppress peak temperatures below Chicago’s 83.6°F climatological normal. Model consensus highlights modest cool-air advection and boundary-layer humidity that cap diurnal warming, pushing market-implied odds toward the 78–81°F bins while keeping higher outcomes (82°F+) at combined under 30%. Traders weigh the timing of any clearing against persistent shower chances, with resolution hinging on official observations at O’Hare or Midway.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日芝加哥气温最高？
8月5日芝加哥气温最高？
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 20%
76-77°F 11%
最新
$20,151 交易量
最新
$20,151 交易量
2026-08-05
75°F或以下
2%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 20%
76-77°F 11%
最新
$20,151 交易量
最新
$20,151 交易量
2026-08-05
75°F或以下
$6,225 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$2,283 交易量
11%
78-79°F
$1,502 交易量
30%
80-81°F
$2,221 交易量
32%
82-83°F
$1,226 交易量
20%
84-85°F
$3,398 交易量
6%
86-87°F
$1,342 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$424 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$547 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$514 交易量
<1%
94°F或更高
$483 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts indicate showers likely on August 5, with daytime highs near 78°F, as increased cloud cover and moisture limit solar insolation and suppress peak temperatures below Chicago’s 83.6°F climatological normal. Model consensus highlights modest cool-air advection and boundary-layer humidity that cap diurnal warming, pushing market-implied odds toward the 78–81°F bins while keeping higher outcomes (82°F+) at combined under 30%. Traders weigh the timing of any clearing against persistent shower chances, with resolution hinging on official observations at O’Hare or Midway.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$20,151结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts indicate showers likely on August 5, with daytime highs near 78°F, as increased cloud cover and moisture limit solar insolation and suppress peak temperatures below Chicago’s 83.6°F climatological normal. Model consensus highlights modest cool-air advection and boundary-layer humidity that cap diurnal warming, pushing market-implied odds toward the 78–81°F bins while keeping higher outcomes (82°F+) at combined under 30%. Traders weigh the timing of any clearing against persistent shower chances, with resolution hinging on official observations at O’Hare or Midway.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,151结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETLatest National Weather Service forecasts indicate showers likely on August 5, with daytime highs near 78°F, as increased cloud cover and moisture limit solar insolation and suppress peak temperatures below Chicago’s 83.6°F climatological normal. Model consensus highlights modest cool-air advection and boundary-layer humidity that cap diurnal warming, pushing market-implied odds toward the 78–81°F bins while keeping higher outcomes (82°F+) at combined under 30%. Traders weigh the timing of any clearing against persistent shower chances, with resolution hinging on official observations at O’Hare or Midway.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题