A recent influx of cooler polar air via a frontal system is the main driver suppressing maximum temperatures in Buenos Aires on August 6, shifting trader consensus toward 13–15 °C. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate daytime highs near 15 °C under increasing cloud cover, northeasterly winds shifting southerly, and light precipitation chances that limit solar heating. This setup contrasts with the long-term August average high of roughly 17 °C, explaining why the market assigns over 80 % combined probability to the 13–15 °C band while assigning minimal weight to 16 °C or warmer. Updated model runs and SMN briefings expected in the next 24 hours will determine whether further cooling pushes probabilities toward 13 °C or allows modest recovery toward 15 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
8月6日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
14°C 54%
13°C 23%
15°C 14%
12°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
23%
14°C
54%
15°C
14%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 54%
13°C 23%
15°C 14%
12°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
8°C or below
$206 交易量
<1%
9°C
$182 交易量
<1%
10°C
$83 交易量
<1%
11°C
$118 交易量
<1%
12°C
$188 交易量
3%
13°C
$871 交易量
23%
14°C
$3,009 交易量
54%
15°C
$420 交易量
14%
16°C
$171 交易量
3%
17°C
$196 交易量
2%
18°C or higher
$161 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A recent influx of cooler polar air via a frontal system is the main driver suppressing maximum temperatures in Buenos Aires on August 6, shifting trader consensus toward 13–15 °C. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate daytime highs near 15 °C under increasing cloud cover, northeasterly winds shifting southerly, and light precipitation chances that limit solar heating. This setup contrasts with the long-term August average high of roughly 17 °C, explaining why the market assigns over 80 % combined probability to the 13–15 °C band while assigning minimal weight to 16 °C or warmer. Updated model runs and SMN briefings expected in the next 24 hours will determine whether further cooling pushes probabilities toward 13 °C or allows modest recovery toward 15 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$5,172结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A recent influx of cooler polar air via a frontal system is the main driver suppressing maximum temperatures in Buenos Aires on August 6, shifting trader consensus toward 13–15 °C. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate daytime highs near 15 °C under increasing cloud cover, northeasterly winds shifting southerly, and light precipitation chances that limit solar heating. This setup contrasts with the long-term August average high of roughly 17 °C, explaining why the market assigns over 80 % combined probability to the 13–15 °C band while assigning minimal weight to 16 °C or warmer. Updated model runs and SMN briefings expected in the next 24 hours will determine whether further cooling pushes probabilities toward 13 °C or allows modest recovery toward 15 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,172结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETA recent influx of cooler polar air via a frontal system is the main driver suppressing maximum temperatures in Buenos Aires on August 6, shifting trader consensus toward 13–15 °C. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate daytime highs near 15 °C under increasing cloud cover, northeasterly winds shifting southerly, and light precipitation chances that limit solar heating. This setup contrasts with the long-term August average high of roughly 17 °C, explaining why the market assigns over 80 % combined probability to the 13–15 °C band while assigning minimal weight to 16 °C or warmer. Updated model runs and SMN briefings expected in the next 24 hours will determine whether further cooling pushes probabilities toward 13 °C or allows modest recovery toward 15 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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