Current forecasts from meteorological agencies cluster around a daytime maximum of 16°C for Buenos Aires on August 5, consistent with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for that outcome and 34% for 15°C. Early August conditions in the Southern Hemisphere winter feature limited solar insolation, prevailing westerly flows, and potential maritime influence that typically cap highs near the 15–17°C climatological range recorded by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Recent model guidance shows minimal warm-air advection or clearing that would support 17°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at just 12% combined. Traders are weighting verified consensus runs and stable atmospheric patterns more heavily, as cloud cover or light precipitation could still trim the actual high by 1°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
8月5日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
16°C 55%
15°C 34%
17°C 14%
18°C 1.1%
最新
$17,109 交易量
最新
$17,109 交易量
2026-08-05
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
34%
16°C
55%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 55%
15°C 34%
17°C 14%
18°C 1.1%
最新
$17,109 交易量
最新
$17,109 交易量
2026-08-05
11°C or below
$285 交易量
<1%
12°C
$674 交易量
<1%
13°C
$501 交易量
<1%
14°C
$811 交易量
1%
15°C
$3,100 交易量
34%
16°C
$6,028 交易量
55%
17°C
$2,733 交易量
14%
18°C
$1,262 交易量
1%
19°C
$861 交易量
<1%
20°C
$557 交易量
<1%
21°C or higher
$298 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies cluster around a daytime maximum of 16°C for Buenos Aires on August 5, consistent with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for that outcome and 34% for 15°C. Early August conditions in the Southern Hemisphere winter feature limited solar insolation, prevailing westerly flows, and potential maritime influence that typically cap highs near the 15–17°C climatological range recorded by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Recent model guidance shows minimal warm-air advection or clearing that would support 17°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at just 12% combined. Traders are weighting verified consensus runs and stable atmospheric patterns more heavily, as cloud cover or light precipitation could still trim the actual high by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$17,109结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies cluster around a daytime maximum of 16°C for Buenos Aires on August 5, consistent with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for that outcome and 34% for 15°C. Early August conditions in the Southern Hemisphere winter feature limited solar insolation, prevailing westerly flows, and potential maritime influence that typically cap highs near the 15–17°C climatological range recorded by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Recent model guidance shows minimal warm-air advection or clearing that would support 17°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at just 12% combined. Traders are weighting verified consensus runs and stable atmospheric patterns more heavily, as cloud cover or light precipitation could still trim the actual high by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,109结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETCurrent forecasts from meteorological agencies cluster around a daytime maximum of 16°C for Buenos Aires on August 5, consistent with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for that outcome and 34% for 15°C. Early August conditions in the Southern Hemisphere winter feature limited solar insolation, prevailing westerly flows, and potential maritime influence that typically cap highs near the 15–17°C climatological range recorded by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Recent model guidance shows minimal warm-air advection or clearing that would support 17°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at just 12% combined. Traders are weighting verified consensus runs and stable atmospheric patterns more heavily, as cloud cover or light precipitation could still trim the actual high by 1°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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