Latest forecasts from models like those used by the Met Office and AccuWeather place Mexico City's August 6 high near 25–26°C, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover typical of the summer rainy season expected to moderate afternoon warming at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Historical August averages hover around 24–26°C, and current steering patterns plus higher humidity favor values clustered in this narrow range rather than extremes. Trader consensus reflects this tight spread, with differentiation hinging on precise timing of precipitation and model consensus on peak insolation before any storms develop. Updated runs from official agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日墨西哥城气温最高?
26°C 34%
27°C 33%
25°C 18%
28°C 12%
23°C或以下
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
18%
26°C
34%
27°C
33%
28°C
12%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C或更高
<1%
26°C 34%
27°C 33%
25°C 18%
28°C 12%
23°C或以下
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
18%
26°C
34%
27°C
33%
28°C
12%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecasts from models like those used by the Met Office and AccuWeather place Mexico City's August 6 high near 25–26°C, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover typical of the summer rainy season expected to moderate afternoon warming at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Historical August averages hover around 24–26°C, and current steering patterns plus higher humidity favor values clustered in this narrow range rather than extremes. Trader consensus reflects this tight spread, with differentiation hinging on precise timing of precipitation and model consensus on peak insolation before any storms develop. Updated runs from official agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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