Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate a warm, humid air mass will limit overnight radiative cooling across the New York metro area on August 6, supporting minimum temperatures most likely in the 76–77°F range. Above-average August temperature outlooks from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, combined with recent highs in the low 80s and elevated dew points, have reinforced trader consensus around this outcome while capping probabilities for cooler bins. Key resolution hinges on official Central Park observations; any unexpected clear skies or drier air could allow modest cooling toward 74°F, though current steering patterns and soil moisture favor the warmer scenario.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月6日的最低温度？
纽约市8月6日的最低温度？
76-77°F 58%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
80-81°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
58%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84°F或更高
1%
76-77°F 58%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
80-81°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
65°F或以下
$129 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$74 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$35 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$18 交易量
2%
72-73°F
$6 交易量
4%
74-75°F
$61 交易量
18%
76-77°F
$865 交易量
58%
78-79°F
$432 交易量
20%
80-81°F
$15 交易量
4%
82-83°F
$406 交易量
1%
84°F或更高
$110 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate a warm, humid air mass will limit overnight radiative cooling across the New York metro area on August 6, supporting minimum temperatures most likely in the 76–77°F range. Above-average August temperature outlooks from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, combined with recent highs in the low 80s and elevated dew points, have reinforced trader consensus around this outcome while capping probabilities for cooler bins. Key resolution hinges on official Central Park observations; any unexpected clear skies or drier air could allow modest cooling toward 74°F, though current steering patterns and soil moisture favor the warmer scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$2,151结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate a warm, humid air mass will limit overnight radiative cooling across the New York metro area on August 6, supporting minimum temperatures most likely in the 76–77°F range. Above-average August temperature outlooks from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, combined with recent highs in the low 80s and elevated dew points, have reinforced trader consensus around this outcome while capping probabilities for cooler bins. Key resolution hinges on official Central Park observations; any unexpected clear skies or drier air could allow modest cooling toward 74°F, though current steering patterns and soil moisture favor the warmer scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,151结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate a warm, humid air mass will limit overnight radiative cooling across the New York metro area on August 6, supporting minimum temperatures most likely in the 76–77°F range. Above-average August temperature outlooks from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, combined with recent highs in the low 80s and elevated dew points, have reinforced trader consensus around this outcome while capping probabilities for cooler bins. Key resolution hinges on official Central Park observations; any unexpected clear skies or drier air could allow modest cooling toward 74°F, though current steering patterns and soil moisture favor the warmer scenario.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题