Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project overnight lows near 72–75°F in New York City for August 5, 2026, under humid, mostly cloudy conditions with light winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with typical August climatology, where urban heat island effects and elevated dew points keep minimum temperatures from dropping significantly below the low 70s. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a 72–73°F low reflects these model outputs and recent days’ observed minima around 70°F amid warmer-than-average summer patterns. A stronger cold front or clearer skies could allow greater cooling and shift the outcome lower, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before dawn.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月5日的最低温度？
纽约市8月5日的最低温度？
72-73°F 94%
70-71°F 5%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$21,337 交易量
$21,337 交易量
2026-08-05
57°F或更低
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
94%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F或更高
<1%
72-73°F 94%
70-71°F 5%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$21,337 交易量
$21,337 交易量
2026-08-05
57°F或更低
$394 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$393 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$393 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$948 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$1,178 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$1,309 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$1,523 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$5,135 交易量
5%
72-73°F
$2,355 交易量
94%
74-75°F
$5,953 交易量
<1%
76°F或更高
$1,759 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project overnight lows near 72–75°F in New York City for August 5, 2026, under humid, mostly cloudy conditions with light winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with typical August climatology, where urban heat island effects and elevated dew points keep minimum temperatures from dropping significantly below the low 70s. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a 72–73°F low reflects these model outputs and recent days’ observed minima around 70°F amid warmer-than-average summer patterns. A stronger cold front or clearer skies could allow greater cooling and shift the outcome lower, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$21,337结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project overnight lows near 72–75°F in New York City for August 5, 2026, under humid, mostly cloudy conditions with light winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with typical August climatology, where urban heat island effects and elevated dew points keep minimum temperatures from dropping significantly below the low 70s. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a 72–73°F low reflects these model outputs and recent days’ observed minima around 70°F amid warmer-than-average summer patterns. A stronger cold front or clearer skies could allow greater cooling and shift the outcome lower, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21,337结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETOfficial forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project overnight lows near 72–75°F in New York City for August 5, 2026, under humid, mostly cloudy conditions with light winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with typical August climatology, where urban heat island effects and elevated dew points keep minimum temperatures from dropping significantly below the low 70s. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a 72–73°F low reflects these model outputs and recent days’ observed minima around 70°F amid warmer-than-average summer patterns. A stronger cold front or clearer skies could allow greater cooling and shift the outcome lower, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before dawn.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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