Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate highs near 90°F on August 5 amid typical late-summer conditions with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with trader consensus favoring the 88-91°F range at over 70% combined implied probability. High humidity and light steering winds support heat indices above 105°F, while convection timing introduces modest uncertainty that could cap readings in the upper 80s or allow brief pushes into the low 90s. This setup tracks August climatology of 87-89°F averages and follows an unusually warm July, with no strong El Niño-driven suppression or tropical influences altering the pattern yet. Updated model runs and official observations from Miami International Airport will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日迈阿密气温最高?
88-89°F 46%
90-91°F 26%
86-87°F 23%
84-85°F 4%
77华氏度或以下
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
46%
90-91°F
26%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
1%
96°F或更高
<1%
88-89°F 46%
90-91°F 26%
86-87°F 23%
84-85°F 4%
77华氏度或以下
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
46%
90-91°F
26%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
1%
96°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate highs near 90°F on August 5 amid typical late-summer conditions with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with trader consensus favoring the 88-91°F range at over 70% combined implied probability. High humidity and light steering winds support heat indices above 105°F, while convection timing introduces modest uncertainty that could cap readings in the upper 80s or allow brief pushes into the low 90s. This setup tracks August climatology of 87-89°F averages and follows an unusually warm July, with no strong El Niño-driven suppression or tropical influences altering the pattern yet. Updated model runs and official observations from Miami International Airport will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题