National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 4 point to a high near 89–91°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with August climatology of 87–90°F at Miami International Airport. Recent record-setting heat in late July and early August, driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures and persistent high pressure, has elevated trader focus on the upper end of normal ranges, though increased moisture and storm activity introduce cooling potential that caps upside odds. Model consensus emphasizes modest steering winds and typical diurnal heating cycles, keeping 90–91°F as the plurality outcome while supporting the strong combined probability on 88–93°F bins. Updated NWS briefings and next-day model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日迈阿密气温最高？
8月4日迈阿密气温最高？
90-91°F 46%
88-89°F 27%
92-93°F 10%
86-87°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
79°F或以下
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
27%
90-91°F
46%
92-93°F
10%
94-95华氏度
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F或更高
1%
90-91°F 46%
88-89°F 27%
92-93°F 10%
86-87°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
79°F或以下
$0 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
2%
82-83°F
$24 交易量
4%
84-85°F
$8 交易量
6%
86-87°F
$43 交易量
9%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
27%
90-91°F
$160 交易量
46%
92-93°F
$198 交易量
10%
94-95华氏度
$100 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$28 交易量
1%
98°F或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 4 point to a high near 89–91°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with August climatology of 87–90°F at Miami International Airport. Recent record-setting heat in late July and early August, driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures and persistent high pressure, has elevated trader focus on the upper end of normal ranges, though increased moisture and storm activity introduce cooling potential that caps upside odds. Model consensus emphasizes modest steering winds and typical diurnal heating cycles, keeping 90–91°F as the plurality outcome while supporting the strong combined probability on 88–93°F bins. Updated NWS briefings and next-day model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$561结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 4 point to a high near 89–91°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with August climatology of 87–90°F at Miami International Airport. Recent record-setting heat in late July and early August, driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures and persistent high pressure, has elevated trader focus on the upper end of normal ranges, though increased moisture and storm activity introduce cooling potential that caps upside odds. Model consensus emphasizes modest steering winds and typical diurnal heating cycles, keeping 90–91°F as the plurality outcome while supporting the strong combined probability on 88–93°F bins. Updated NWS briefings and next-day model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$561结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNational Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 4 point to a high near 89–91°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with August climatology of 87–90°F at Miami International Airport. Recent record-setting heat in late July and early August, driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures and persistent high pressure, has elevated trader focus on the upper end of normal ranges, though increased moisture and storm activity introduce cooling potential that caps upside odds. Model consensus emphasizes modest steering winds and typical diurnal heating cycles, keeping 90–91°F as the plurality outcome while supporting the strong combined probability on 88–93°F bins. Updated NWS briefings and next-day model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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