Trader consensus centers on a tight 31–32°C range for Panama City’s August 4 maximum because typical wet-season conditions—high solar insolation during clear mornings followed by rapid convective cloud buildup—create narrow uncertainty in peak readings. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit surface heating after 14:00 local time, while variable wind speeds and humidity levels modulate how much heat accumulates. Historical August averages hover near 29–30°C, so recent model guidance suggesting slightly reduced cloud cover or delayed onset of showers supports the modest upward shift implied by the market. Upcoming National Meteorological Service of Panama updates and morning satellite imagery will likely resolve the 1°C spread before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日巴拿马城气温最高?
32°C 41%
31°C 30%
33°C 22%
30°C 9%
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
30%
32°C
41%
33°C
22%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36℃
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
32°C 41%
31°C 30%
33°C 22%
30°C 9%
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
30%
32°C
41%
33°C
22%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36℃
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus centers on a tight 31–32°C range for Panama City’s August 4 maximum because typical wet-season conditions—high solar insolation during clear mornings followed by rapid convective cloud buildup—create narrow uncertainty in peak readings. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit surface heating after 14:00 local time, while variable wind speeds and humidity levels modulate how much heat accumulates. Historical August averages hover near 29–30°C, so recent model guidance suggesting slightly reduced cloud cover or delayed onset of showers supports the modest upward shift implied by the market. Upcoming National Meteorological Service of Panama updates and morning satellite imagery will likely resolve the 1°C spread before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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