**Mexico City’s high-elevation basin (roughly 2,240 m) and peak rainy-season dynamics keep maximum temperatures tightly clustered near the long-term August average of 24–26 °C.** Official guidance and ensemble forecasts for August 4 indicate daytime heating moderated by morning sunshine followed by scattered afternoon convection and showers, which typically cap readings in the 26–28 °C range. Model consensus across sources currently favors 27 °C as the most probable peak, consistent with the 55 % market-implied probability, while the 21–22 % odds on 26 °C and 28 °C reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and localized heating before storms develop. Recent observational trends and updated short-range runs show no significant deviation from climatology, with light winds and typical moisture profiles limiting further warming. New model cycles and surface observations through the day will provide the clearest signals for any late adjustments ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日墨西哥城气温最高？
8月4日墨西哥城气温最高？
27°C 55%
28°C 22%
26°C 21%
25°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
21%
27°C
55%
28°C
22%
29°C
2%
30°C或更高
1%
27°C 55%
28°C 22%
26°C 21%
25°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
20°C或以下
$254 交易量
<1%
21°C
$209 交易量
<1%
22°C
$321 交易量
<1%
23°C
$162 交易量
<1%
24°C
$701 交易量
2%
25°C
$260 交易量
4%
26°C
$461 交易量
21%
27°C
$1,228 交易量
55%
28°C
$450 交易量
22%
29°C
$193 交易量
2%
30°C或更高
$108 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mexico City’s high-elevation basin (roughly 2,240 m) and peak rainy-season dynamics keep maximum temperatures tightly clustered near the long-term August average of 24–26 °C.** Official guidance and ensemble forecasts for August 4 indicate daytime heating moderated by morning sunshine followed by scattered afternoon convection and showers, which typically cap readings in the 26–28 °C range. Model consensus across sources currently favors 27 °C as the most probable peak, consistent with the 55 % market-implied probability, while the 21–22 % odds on 26 °C and 28 °C reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and localized heating before storms develop. Recent observational trends and updated short-range runs show no significant deviation from climatology, with light winds and typical moisture profiles limiting further warming. New model cycles and surface observations through the day will provide the clearest signals for any late adjustments ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$4,347结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mexico City’s high-elevation basin (roughly 2,240 m) and peak rainy-season dynamics keep maximum temperatures tightly clustered near the long-term August average of 24–26 °C.** Official guidance and ensemble forecasts for August 4 indicate daytime heating moderated by morning sunshine followed by scattered afternoon convection and showers, which typically cap readings in the 26–28 °C range. Model consensus across sources currently favors 27 °C as the most probable peak, consistent with the 55 % market-implied probability, while the 21–22 % odds on 26 °C and 28 °C reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and localized heating before storms develop. Recent observational trends and updated short-range runs show no significant deviation from climatology, with light winds and typical moisture profiles limiting further warming. New model cycles and surface observations through the day will provide the clearest signals for any late adjustments ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,347结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET**Mexico City’s high-elevation basin (roughly 2,240 m) and peak rainy-season dynamics keep maximum temperatures tightly clustered near the long-term August average of 24–26 °C.** Official guidance and ensemble forecasts for August 4 indicate daytime heating moderated by morning sunshine followed by scattered afternoon convection and showers, which typically cap readings in the 26–28 °C range. Model consensus across sources currently favors 27 °C as the most probable peak, consistent with the 55 % market-implied probability, while the 21–22 % odds on 26 °C and 28 °C reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and localized heating before storms develop. Recent observational trends and updated short-range runs show no significant deviation from climatology, with light winds and typical moisture profiles limiting further warming. New model cycles and surface observations through the day will provide the clearest signals for any late adjustments ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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