Recent meteorological forecasts indicate a peak high of around 36°C in Milan on August 5, supported by a strengthening subtropical ridge and southerly flow advecting warmer air masses across the Po Valley. Urban heat island effects and minimal cloud cover or precipitation are expected to amplify daytime maxima, consistent with typical mid-August climatology where daily highs average 28–32°C but can exceed 35°C during stable anticyclonic conditions. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national agencies shows limited spread for this timeframe, with low probability of significant cooling or intensification before resolution, aligning trader-implied odds with observed short-term trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日米兰的最高温度?
36°C 43%
37°C 21%
35°C 21%
34°C 17%
33°C or below
5%
34°C
17%
35°C
21%
36°C
43%
37°C
21%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 43%
37°C 21%
35°C 21%
34°C 17%
33°C or below
5%
34°C
17%
35°C
21%
36°C
43%
37°C
21%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts indicate a peak high of around 36°C in Milan on August 5, supported by a strengthening subtropical ridge and southerly flow advecting warmer air masses across the Po Valley. Urban heat island effects and minimal cloud cover or precipitation are expected to amplify daytime maxima, consistent with typical mid-August climatology where daily highs average 28–32°C but can exceed 35°C during stable anticyclonic conditions. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national agencies shows limited spread for this timeframe, with low probability of significant cooling or intensification before resolution, aligning trader-implied odds with observed short-term trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题