Current MetService and aligned regional models forecast a daytime maximum near 10°C in Wellington on August 6 under southwesterly flow after a cold front, with partly cloudy skies and only a low chance of an early shower. This follows recent highs of 8°C on August 4–5 amid stronger southerlies and aligns with NIWA’s near-average winter temperature outlook for the Wellington region, though below the long-term August mean of 12–13°C. Market-implied odds favoring 10–11°C reflect this guidance while incorporating typical forecast variability in peak timing and local wind effects; updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key potential catalyst for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月6日惠灵顿的最高温度？
11°C 49%
10°C 36%
12°C 14%
9°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
7%
10°C
36%
11°C
49%
12°C
14%
13°C
3%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
1%
11°C 49%
10°C 36%
12°C 14%
9°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
5°C or below
$363 交易量
<1%
6°C
$166 交易量
<1%
7°C
$109 交易量
1%
8°C
$26 交易量
2%
9°C
$184 交易量
7%
10°C
$180 交易量
36%
11°C
$224 交易量
49%
12°C
$558 交易量
14%
13°C
$10 交易量
3%
14°C
$10 交易量
2%
15°C or higher
$111 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService and aligned regional models forecast a daytime maximum near 10°C in Wellington on August 6 under southwesterly flow after a cold front, with partly cloudy skies and only a low chance of an early shower. This follows recent highs of 8°C on August 4–5 amid stronger southerlies and aligns with NIWA’s near-average winter temperature outlook for the Wellington region, though below the long-term August mean of 12–13°C. Market-implied odds favoring 10–11°C reflect this guidance while incorporating typical forecast variability in peak timing and local wind effects; updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key potential catalyst for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,941结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService and aligned regional models forecast a daytime maximum near 10°C in Wellington on August 6 under southwesterly flow after a cold front, with partly cloudy skies and only a low chance of an early shower. This follows recent highs of 8°C on August 4–5 amid stronger southerlies and aligns with NIWA’s near-average winter temperature outlook for the Wellington region, though below the long-term August mean of 12–13°C. Market-implied odds favoring 10–11°C reflect this guidance while incorporating typical forecast variability in peak timing and local wind effects; updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key potential catalyst for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,941结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent MetService and aligned regional models forecast a daytime maximum near 10°C in Wellington on August 6 under southwesterly flow after a cold front, with partly cloudy skies and only a low chance of an early shower. This follows recent highs of 8°C on August 4–5 amid stronger southerlies and aligns with NIWA’s near-average winter temperature outlook for the Wellington region, though below the long-term August mean of 12–13°C. Market-implied odds favoring 10–11°C reflect this guidance while incorporating typical forecast variability in peak timing and local wind effects; updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key potential catalyst for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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