Recent NWS forecasts for Denver on August 5 project a high near 87°F under partly sunny skies with light northeast winds, patchy smoke, and a slight afternoon storm chance, following a multi-day Western heat wave that produced 100°F+ readings earlier in the week. This places the most likely outcome in the 86–89°F range, consistent with the 70% combined market-implied probability for 84–89°F bins. Model consensus favors modest cooling from prior days without significant moisture or cloud cover to suppress temperatures further, while historical August averages near 90–92°F provide climatological context. Traders are weighting the official forecast heavily ahead of any last-model runs or observational updates on the morning of the 5th.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日丹佛气温最高？
8月5日丹佛气温最高？
86-87°F 42%
88-89°F 31%
84-85°F 21%
82-83°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
75°F或以下
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
42%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
2%
94°F或更高
2%
86-87°F 42%
88-89°F 31%
84-85°F 21%
82-83°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
75°F或以下
$5 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$10 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$163 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$290 交易量
2%
82-83°F
$336 交易量
7%
84-85°F
$298 交易量
21%
86-87°F
$609 交易量
42%
88-89°F
$592 交易量
31%
90-91°F
$236 交易量
4%
92-93°F
$15 交易量
2%
94°F或更高
$21 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS forecasts for Denver on August 5 project a high near 87°F under partly sunny skies with light northeast winds, patchy smoke, and a slight afternoon storm chance, following a multi-day Western heat wave that produced 100°F+ readings earlier in the week. This places the most likely outcome in the 86–89°F range, consistent with the 70% combined market-implied probability for 84–89°F bins. Model consensus favors modest cooling from prior days without significant moisture or cloud cover to suppress temperatures further, while historical August averages near 90–92°F provide climatological context. Traders are weighting the official forecast heavily ahead of any last-model runs or observational updates on the morning of the 5th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$2,576结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS forecasts for Denver on August 5 project a high near 87°F under partly sunny skies with light northeast winds, patchy smoke, and a slight afternoon storm chance, following a multi-day Western heat wave that produced 100°F+ readings earlier in the week. This places the most likely outcome in the 86–89°F range, consistent with the 70% combined market-implied probability for 84–89°F bins. Model consensus favors modest cooling from prior days without significant moisture or cloud cover to suppress temperatures further, while historical August averages near 90–92°F provide climatological context. Traders are weighting the official forecast heavily ahead of any last-model runs or observational updates on the morning of the 5th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,576结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent NWS forecasts for Denver on August 5 project a high near 87°F under partly sunny skies with light northeast winds, patchy smoke, and a slight afternoon storm chance, following a multi-day Western heat wave that produced 100°F+ readings earlier in the week. This places the most likely outcome in the 86–89°F range, consistent with the 70% combined market-implied probability for 84–89°F bins. Model consensus favors modest cooling from prior days without significant moisture or cloud cover to suppress temperatures further, while historical August averages near 90–92°F provide climatological context. Traders are weighting the official forecast heavily ahead of any last-model runs or observational updates on the morning of the 5th.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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