Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日香港最低气温？
8月8日香港最低气温？
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$104,225 交易量
$104,225 交易量
2026-08-08
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$104,225 交易量
$104,225 交易量
2026-08-08
22°C或以下
$636 交易量
否
23°C
$1,256 交易量
否
24°C
$4,298 交易量
否
25°C
$11,620 交易量
否
26°C
$6,955 交易量
否
27°C
$16,235 交易量
否
28°C
$29,034 交易量
是
29°C
$27,221 交易量
否
30°C
$5,393 交易量
否
31°C
$938 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$641 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$104,225结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$104,225结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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