Mexico City's elevation above 2,200 meters and the influence of the rainy season typically keep August daily highs near 22–24°C, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) observations serving as the authoritative record for market resolution. Recent model consensus and surface observations for August 7 aligned precisely on a maximum of 24°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome. Minor deviations in station selection or reporting timing represent the only realistic uncertainties that could alter settlement, though standardized protocols minimize such risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日墨西哥城气温最高?
24°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$21,463 交易量
$21,463 交易量
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
24°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$21,463 交易量
$21,463 交易量
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mexico City's elevation above 2,200 meters and the influence of the rainy season typically keep August daily highs near 22–24°C, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) observations serving as the authoritative record for market resolution. Recent model consensus and surface observations for August 7 aligned precisely on a maximum of 24°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome. Minor deviations in station selection or reporting timing represent the only realistic uncertainties that could alter settlement, though standardized protocols minimize such risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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