Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 10 will likely settle near 26–27°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 42% and 30% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity in the East Asian monsoon pattern limit radiational cooling, keeping lows above typical clear-night baselines. Historical early-August climatology shows average minima around 25–26°C, but current steering patterns and moisture influx support slightly warmer readings. Traders are monitoring updated model runs for any late shifts in precipitation timing or wind that could alter the overnight low before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日上海最低气温？
8月10日上海最低气温？
27°C 38%
26°C 30%
25°C 11%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
11%
26°C
30%
27°C
42%
28°C
8%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C或更高
<1%
27°C 38%
26°C 30%
25°C 11%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
21°C或以下
$145 交易量
<1%
22°C
$615 交易量
<1%
23°C
$483 交易量
3%
24°C
$618 交易量
6%
25°C
$271 交易量
11%
26°C
$1,729 交易量
30%
27°C
$1,050 交易量
42%
28°C
$902 交易量
8%
29°C
$571 交易量
3%
30°C
$273 交易量
1%
31°C或更高
$162 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 10 will likely settle near 26–27°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 42% and 30% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity in the East Asian monsoon pattern limit radiational cooling, keeping lows above typical clear-night baselines. Historical early-August climatology shows average minima around 25–26°C, but current steering patterns and moisture influx support slightly warmer readings. Traders are monitoring updated model runs for any late shifts in precipitation timing or wind that could alter the overnight low before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$6,820结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 10 will likely settle near 26–27°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 42% and 30% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity in the East Asian monsoon pattern limit radiational cooling, keeping lows above typical clear-night baselines. Historical early-August climatology shows average minima around 25–26°C, but current steering patterns and moisture influx support slightly warmer readings. Traders are monitoring updated model runs for any late shifts in precipitation timing or wind that could alter the overnight low before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,820结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 10 will likely settle near 26–27°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 42% and 30% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity in the East Asian monsoon pattern limit radiational cooling, keeping lows above typical clear-night baselines. Historical early-August climatology shows average minima around 25–26°C, but current steering patterns and moisture influx support slightly warmer readings. Traders are monitoring updated model runs for any late shifts in precipitation timing or wind that could alter the overnight low before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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