A strong cold front, accompanied by a cut-off low, is tracking across the Western Cape in the days leading into August 10, advecting cooler maritime air and limiting daytime insolation through increased cloud cover and fresh south-easterly winds. Official guidance, including BBC forecasts, points to a maximum of 15 °C under partly sunny conditions, while longer-range seasonal normals for early August sit near 17 °C. Model consensus on the exact post-frontal temperature recovery and any lingering marine-layer effects creates the tight clustering around 14–16 °C in trader pricing, with small probability mass extending to 13 °C or 17 °C depending on the front’s precise timing and wind strength.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日开普敦气温最高?
15°C 34%
16°C 23%
14°C 22%
17°C 16%
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
22%
15°C
34%
16°C
23%
17°C
16%
18°C
10%
19°C
4%
20°C或更高
1%
15°C 34%
16°C 23%
14°C 22%
17°C 16%
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
22%
15°C
34%
16°C
23%
17°C
16%
18°C
10%
19°C
4%
20°C或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
A strong cold front, accompanied by a cut-off low, is tracking across the Western Cape in the days leading into August 10, advecting cooler maritime air and limiting daytime insolation through increased cloud cover and fresh south-easterly winds. Official guidance, including BBC forecasts, points to a maximum of 15 °C under partly sunny conditions, while longer-range seasonal normals for early August sit near 17 °C. Model consensus on the exact post-frontal temperature recovery and any lingering marine-layer effects creates the tight clustering around 14–16 °C in trader pricing, with small probability mass extending to 13 °C or 17 °C depending on the front’s precise timing and wind strength.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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