Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather indicate a maximum near 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 8, 2026, amid increasing cloud cover and possible afternoon showers linked to an approaching cold front and northwesterly winds. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 17°C (46%) and 18°C (38%), reflecting model consensus on a mild winter day slightly above the long-term August average high of 17°C, while distinguishing those outcomes from lower probabilities for 16°C or below hinges on exact cloud timing, wind strength, and any late clearing that could allow brief solar warming. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service emphasizes modest variability in such transitional conditions, where small shifts in frontal position or insolation can readily separate 17°C from 18°C resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日开普敦气温最高?
17°C 45%
18°C 39%
16°C 12%
19°C 6%
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
45%
18°C
39%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C或更高
1%
17°C 45%
18°C 39%
16°C 12%
19°C 6%
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
45%
18°C
39%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather indicate a maximum near 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 8, 2026, amid increasing cloud cover and possible afternoon showers linked to an approaching cold front and northwesterly winds. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 17°C (46%) and 18°C (38%), reflecting model consensus on a mild winter day slightly above the long-term August average high of 17°C, while distinguishing those outcomes from lower probabilities for 16°C or below hinges on exact cloud timing, wind strength, and any late clearing that could allow brief solar warming. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service emphasizes modest variability in such transitional conditions, where small shifts in frontal position or insolation can readily separate 17°C from 18°C resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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