Latest ensemble forecasts from European models point to a peak around 35–36°C in Milan on August 10 under persistent high pressure and light winds typical of the Po Valley in mid-August. Recent maxima of 35–38°C amid nationwide heat alerts have anchored trader expectations near these levels, while subtle model differences in the timing of Atlantic moisture or brief cloud cover create the tight spread between the leading 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Resolution hinges on official observations from Milan Linate or Malpensa, where urban heat island effects and precise measurement timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日米兰最高气温？
8月10日米兰最高气温？
36°C 40%
35°C 37%
37°C 12%
34°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
10%
35°C
37%
36°C
40%
37°C
12%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C或更高
<1%
36°C 40%
35°C 37%
37°C 12%
34°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
31°C or below
$24 交易量
<1%
32°C
$42 交易量
1%
33°C
$84 交易量
3%
34°C
$695 交易量
10%
35°C
$121 交易量
37%
36°C
$222 交易量
40%
37°C
$248 交易量
12%
38°C
$16 交易量
3%
39°C
$10 交易量
2%
40°C
$36 交易量
1%
41°C或更高
$125 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European models point to a peak around 35–36°C in Milan on August 10 under persistent high pressure and light winds typical of the Po Valley in mid-August. Recent maxima of 35–38°C amid nationwide heat alerts have anchored trader expectations near these levels, while subtle model differences in the timing of Atlantic moisture or brief cloud cover create the tight spread between the leading 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Resolution hinges on official observations from Milan Linate or Malpensa, where urban heat island effects and precise measurement timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,621结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European models point to a peak around 35–36°C in Milan on August 10 under persistent high pressure and light winds typical of the Po Valley in mid-August. Recent maxima of 35–38°C amid nationwide heat alerts have anchored trader expectations near these levels, while subtle model differences in the timing of Atlantic moisture or brief cloud cover create the tight spread between the leading 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Resolution hinges on official observations from Milan Linate or Malpensa, where urban heat island effects and precise measurement timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,621结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from European models point to a peak around 35–36°C in Milan on August 10 under persistent high pressure and light winds typical of the Po Valley in mid-August. Recent maxima of 35–38°C amid nationwide heat alerts have anchored trader expectations near these levels, while subtle model differences in the timing of Atlantic moisture or brief cloud cover create the tight spread between the leading 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Resolution hinges on official observations from Milan Linate or Malpensa, where urban heat island effects and precise measurement timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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