Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Dallas-Fort Worth point to a sunny, hot pattern with highs centered near 100°F on August 9, supporting the tight 39% and 36.5% market-implied odds on 100–101°F versus 98–99°F. Seasonal high pressure maintains mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, limiting cloud cover that could cap temperatures while keeping heat indices elevated. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in afternoon mixing depth and any isolated late-day convection, which could trim the peak by 1–2°F or allow it to reach the low 100s. Historical climatology places early-August Dallas maxima near 96–99°F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with trader consensus around the century mark. Updated NWS forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational calibration before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日达拉斯的最高温度？
8月9日达拉斯的最高温度？
100-101°F 40%
98-99°F 37%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
37%
100-101°F
40%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 40%
98-99°F 37%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
93°F or below
$10 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$27 交易量
1%
96-97°F
$952 交易量
5%
98-99°F
$266 交易量
37%
100-101°F
$137 交易量
40%
102-103°F
$72 交易量
15%
104-105°F
$206 交易量
4%
106-107°F
$212 交易量
1%
108-109°F
$46 交易量
<1%
110-111°F
$38 交易量
<1%
112°F or higher
$434 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Dallas-Fort Worth point to a sunny, hot pattern with highs centered near 100°F on August 9, supporting the tight 39% and 36.5% market-implied odds on 100–101°F versus 98–99°F. Seasonal high pressure maintains mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, limiting cloud cover that could cap temperatures while keeping heat indices elevated. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in afternoon mixing depth and any isolated late-day convection, which could trim the peak by 1–2°F or allow it to reach the low 100s. Historical climatology places early-August Dallas maxima near 96–99°F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with trader consensus around the century mark. Updated NWS forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational calibration before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$2,399结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Dallas-Fort Worth point to a sunny, hot pattern with highs centered near 100°F on August 9, supporting the tight 39% and 36.5% market-implied odds on 100–101°F versus 98–99°F. Seasonal high pressure maintains mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, limiting cloud cover that could cap temperatures while keeping heat indices elevated. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in afternoon mixing depth and any isolated late-day convection, which could trim the peak by 1–2°F or allow it to reach the low 100s. Historical climatology places early-August Dallas maxima near 96–99°F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with trader consensus around the century mark. Updated NWS forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational calibration before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,399结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Dallas-Fort Worth point to a sunny, hot pattern with highs centered near 100°F on August 9, supporting the tight 39% and 36.5% market-implied odds on 100–101°F versus 98–99°F. Seasonal high pressure maintains mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, limiting cloud cover that could cap temperatures while keeping heat indices elevated. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in afternoon mixing depth and any isolated late-day convection, which could trim the peak by 1–2°F or allow it to reach the low 100s. Historical climatology places early-August Dallas maxima near 96–99°F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with trader consensus around the century mark. Updated NWS forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational calibration before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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