Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 7 project a high near 72°F under mostly sunny conditions, aligning with the market's modest 12.5% implied probability for 72-73°F while favoring the closely matched 70-71°F (41.5%) and 68-69°F (37.5%) bins. Persistent marine-layer influence and afternoon sea breezes from the Pacific typically cap coastal maxima 5–10°F below inland Bay Area readings, with historical August averages near 69–70°F. Minor forecast variations hinge on exact onshore wind strength, marine-layer depth, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming toward 72°F or hold readings in the upper 60s. Traders weigh these real-time model runs against climatological baselines for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日旧金山气温最高？
8月7日旧金山气温最高？
70-71°F 39%
68-69°F 38%
72-73°F 13%
66-67°F 8%
$23,387 交易量
$23,387 交易量
2026-08-07
65°F或以下
3%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
70-71°F 39%
68-69°F 38%
72-73°F 13%
66-67°F 8%
$23,387 交易量
$23,387 交易量
2026-08-07
65°F或以下
$1,791 交易量
3%
66-67°F
$2,557 交易量
8%
68-69°F
$4,103 交易量
38%
70-71°F
$3,667 交易量
39%
72-73°F
$2,756 交易量
13%
74-75°F
$943 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$1,096 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$2,248 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$2,423 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$471 交易量
<1%
84°F或更高
$1,333 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 7 project a high near 72°F under mostly sunny conditions, aligning with the market's modest 12.5% implied probability for 72-73°F while favoring the closely matched 70-71°F (41.5%) and 68-69°F (37.5%) bins. Persistent marine-layer influence and afternoon sea breezes from the Pacific typically cap coastal maxima 5–10°F below inland Bay Area readings, with historical August averages near 69–70°F. Minor forecast variations hinge on exact onshore wind strength, marine-layer depth, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming toward 72°F or hold readings in the upper 60s. Traders weigh these real-time model runs against climatological baselines for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$23,387结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 7 project a high near 72°F under mostly sunny conditions, aligning with the market's modest 12.5% implied probability for 72-73°F while favoring the closely matched 70-71°F (41.5%) and 68-69°F (37.5%) bins. Persistent marine-layer influence and afternoon sea breezes from the Pacific typically cap coastal maxima 5–10°F below inland Bay Area readings, with historical August averages near 69–70°F. Minor forecast variations hinge on exact onshore wind strength, marine-layer depth, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming toward 72°F or hold readings in the upper 60s. Traders weigh these real-time model runs against climatological baselines for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,387结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 7 project a high near 72°F under mostly sunny conditions, aligning with the market's modest 12.5% implied probability for 72-73°F while favoring the closely matched 70-71°F (41.5%) and 68-69°F (37.5%) bins. Persistent marine-layer influence and afternoon sea breezes from the Pacific typically cap coastal maxima 5–10°F below inland Bay Area readings, with historical August averages near 69–70°F. Minor forecast variations hinge on exact onshore wind strength, marine-layer depth, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming toward 72°F or hold readings in the upper 60s. Traders weigh these real-time model runs against climatological baselines for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题