Persistent warm, humid air from a tropical airmass has elevated overnight lows in New York City, with National Weather Service forecasts and observations indicating dew points in the mid-70s°F, light winds, and minimal radiational cooling holding the minimum temperature near 80–81°F on August 7 under an active heat advisory. This aligns with broader August 2026 outlooks showing above-average regional temperatures and no incoming cold front or drier air to promote further drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the 73% implied probability for 80–81°F, centers on these stable atmospheric conditions, while lower bins remain low-probability without model shifts or unexpected boundary-layer changes before dawn.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月7日的最低温度？
纽约市8月7日的最低温度？
80-81°F 73%
78-79°F 23%
74-75°F 2%
76-77°F 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
73%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 73%
78-79°F 23%
74-75°F 2%
76-77°F 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
65°F或以下
$340 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$498 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$414 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$459 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$333 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$367 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$483 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$1,516 交易量
23%
80-81°F
$1,156 交易量
73%
82-83°F
$3,279 交易量
<1%
84°F或更高
$242 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid air from a tropical airmass has elevated overnight lows in New York City, with National Weather Service forecasts and observations indicating dew points in the mid-70s°F, light winds, and minimal radiational cooling holding the minimum temperature near 80–81°F on August 7 under an active heat advisory. This aligns with broader August 2026 outlooks showing above-average regional temperatures and no incoming cold front or drier air to promote further drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the 73% implied probability for 80–81°F, centers on these stable atmospheric conditions, while lower bins remain low-probability without model shifts or unexpected boundary-layer changes before dawn.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$9,087结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid air from a tropical airmass has elevated overnight lows in New York City, with National Weather Service forecasts and observations indicating dew points in the mid-70s°F, light winds, and minimal radiational cooling holding the minimum temperature near 80–81°F on August 7 under an active heat advisory. This aligns with broader August 2026 outlooks showing above-average regional temperatures and no incoming cold front or drier air to promote further drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the 73% implied probability for 80–81°F, centers on these stable atmospheric conditions, while lower bins remain low-probability without model shifts or unexpected boundary-layer changes before dawn.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,087结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ETPersistent warm, humid air from a tropical airmass has elevated overnight lows in New York City, with National Weather Service forecasts and observations indicating dew points in the mid-70s°F, light winds, and minimal radiational cooling holding the minimum temperature near 80–81°F on August 7 under an active heat advisory. This aligns with broader August 2026 outlooks showing above-average regional temperatures and no incoming cold front or drier air to promote further drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the 73% implied probability for 80–81°F, centers on these stable atmospheric conditions, while lower bins remain low-probability without model shifts or unexpected boundary-layer changes before dawn.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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