Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models for Warsaw on August 9 project maximum temperatures of 24–26 °C under typical late-summer conditions with moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover, aligning with climatological averages near 24–25 °C. Consensus across runs shows weak synoptic forcing and stable high pressure supporting daytime peaks in this narrow band, with minimal spread in 2 m temperature guidance. Traders have priced the highest probability at 25 °C (46.5 %) followed by 26 °C (28.5 %), reflecting the latest model convergence and absence of anomalous warming signals. Official verification will come from the Warsaw Chopin Airport station, with any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or insolation potentially shifting outcomes within the 24–27 °C range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月9日最高气温？
华沙8月9日最高气温？
25°C 47%
26°C 29%
24°C 20%
27°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
20%
25°C
47%
26°C
29%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
25°C 47%
26°C 29%
24°C 20%
27°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
21°C or below
$308 交易量
<1%
22°C
$372 交易量
1%
23°C
$12 交易量
4%
24°C
$89 交易量
20%
25°C
$47 交易量
47%
26°C
$12 交易量
29%
27°C
$17 交易量
5%
28°C
$12 交易量
3%
29°C
$27 交易量
1%
30°C
$12 交易量
1%
31°C or higher
$12 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models for Warsaw on August 9 project maximum temperatures of 24–26 °C under typical late-summer conditions with moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover, aligning with climatological averages near 24–25 °C. Consensus across runs shows weak synoptic forcing and stable high pressure supporting daytime peaks in this narrow band, with minimal spread in 2 m temperature guidance. Traders have priced the highest probability at 25 °C (46.5 %) followed by 26 °C (28.5 %), reflecting the latest model convergence and absence of anomalous warming signals. Official verification will come from the Warsaw Chopin Airport station, with any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or insolation potentially shifting outcomes within the 24–27 °C range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$920结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models for Warsaw on August 9 project maximum temperatures of 24–26 °C under typical late-summer conditions with moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover, aligning with climatological averages near 24–25 °C. Consensus across runs shows weak synoptic forcing and stable high pressure supporting daytime peaks in this narrow band, with minimal spread in 2 m temperature guidance. Traders have priced the highest probability at 25 °C (46.5 %) followed by 26 °C (28.5 %), reflecting the latest model convergence and absence of anomalous warming signals. Official verification will come from the Warsaw Chopin Airport station, with any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or insolation potentially shifting outcomes within the 24–27 °C range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$920结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models for Warsaw on August 9 project maximum temperatures of 24–26 °C under typical late-summer conditions with moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover, aligning with climatological averages near 24–25 °C. Consensus across runs shows weak synoptic forcing and stable high pressure supporting daytime peaks in this narrow band, with minimal spread in 2 m temperature guidance. Traders have priced the highest probability at 25 °C (46.5 %) followed by 26 °C (28.5 %), reflecting the latest model convergence and absence of anomalous warming signals. Official verification will come from the Warsaw Chopin Airport station, with any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or insolation potentially shifting outcomes within the 24–27 °C range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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