Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Trip.com indicate a daily maximum of 30–31°C for Qingdao on August 12 under light rain and moderate easterly flow, aligning with the tight market spread between those outcomes. Coastal marine moderation from the Yellow Sea limits daytime heating compared to inland Shandong sites, while variable cloud cover and any sea-breeze strengthening can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Subtropical high positioning and short-term precipitation timing introduce the main uncertainty distinguishing 30°C from 32°C scenarios; updated CMA and global ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether reduced insolation or clearer intervals shift the expected maximum. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context for this coastal location.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日青岛气温最高？
8月12日青岛气温最高？
31°C 33%
30°C 28%
29°C 20%
32°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
20%
30°C
28%
31°C
33%
32°C
14%
33°C
11%
34°C
7%
35°C或更高
1%
31°C 33%
30°C 28%
29°C 20%
32°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
25°C或以下
$21 交易量
<1%
26°C
$21 交易量
<1%
27°C
$5 交易量
3%
28°C
$102 交易量
9%
29°C
$21 交易量
20%
30°C
$21 交易量
28%
31°C
$65 交易量
33%
32°C
$29 交易量
14%
33°C
$95 交易量
11%
34°C
$75 交易量
7%
35°C或更高
$21 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Trip.com indicate a daily maximum of 30–31°C for Qingdao on August 12 under light rain and moderate easterly flow, aligning with the tight market spread between those outcomes. Coastal marine moderation from the Yellow Sea limits daytime heating compared to inland Shandong sites, while variable cloud cover and any sea-breeze strengthening can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Subtropical high positioning and short-term precipitation timing introduce the main uncertainty distinguishing 30°C from 32°C scenarios; updated CMA and global ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether reduced insolation or clearer intervals shift the expected maximum. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context for this coastal location.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$476结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Trip.com indicate a daily maximum of 30–31°C for Qingdao on August 12 under light rain and moderate easterly flow, aligning with the tight market spread between those outcomes. Coastal marine moderation from the Yellow Sea limits daytime heating compared to inland Shandong sites, while variable cloud cover and any sea-breeze strengthening can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Subtropical high positioning and short-term precipitation timing introduce the main uncertainty distinguishing 30°C from 32°C scenarios; updated CMA and global ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether reduced insolation or clearer intervals shift the expected maximum. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context for this coastal location.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$476结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Trip.com indicate a daily maximum of 30–31°C for Qingdao on August 12 under light rain and moderate easterly flow, aligning with the tight market spread between those outcomes. Coastal marine moderation from the Yellow Sea limits daytime heating compared to inland Shandong sites, while variable cloud cover and any sea-breeze strengthening can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Subtropical high positioning and short-term precipitation timing introduce the main uncertainty distinguishing 30°C from 32°C scenarios; updated CMA and global ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether reduced insolation or clearer intervals shift the expected maximum. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context for this coastal location.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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