Trader consensus in this market centers on ensemble forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration projecting an overnight minimum of 26–27°C for Shanghai on August 12, driven by persistent high humidity and scattered showers associated with a tropical rainstorm. These conditions suppress radiative cooling at night by trapping heat under cloud cover, preventing sharper temperature drops typical in clearer, drier subtropical summer nights. Historical August baselines show average lows near 25–26°C, but current atmospheric moisture and wind patterns introduce enough variability that minor shifts in shower timing or coverage could easily distinguish between the two leading outcomes. New model runs and observational updates from global ensembles will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日上海最低气温？
8月12日上海最低气温？
27°C 40%
26°C 38%
28°C 9%
25°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
38%
27°C
40%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
27°C 40%
26°C 38%
28°C 9%
25°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
21°C或以下
$52 交易量
<1%
22°C
$64 交易量
<1%
23°C
$28 交易量
1%
24°C
$239 交易量
3%
25°C
$61 交易量
8%
26°C
$407 交易量
38%
27°C
$213 交易量
40%
28°C
$36 交易量
9%
29°C
$223 交易量
2%
30°C
$38 交易量
<1%
31°C或更高
$42 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this market centers on ensemble forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration projecting an overnight minimum of 26–27°C for Shanghai on August 12, driven by persistent high humidity and scattered showers associated with a tropical rainstorm. These conditions suppress radiative cooling at night by trapping heat under cloud cover, preventing sharper temperature drops typical in clearer, drier subtropical summer nights. Historical August baselines show average lows near 25–26°C, but current atmospheric moisture and wind patterns introduce enough variability that minor shifts in shower timing or coverage could easily distinguish between the two leading outcomes. New model runs and observational updates from global ensembles will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,402结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this market centers on ensemble forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration projecting an overnight minimum of 26–27°C for Shanghai on August 12, driven by persistent high humidity and scattered showers associated with a tropical rainstorm. These conditions suppress radiative cooling at night by trapping heat under cloud cover, preventing sharper temperature drops typical in clearer, drier subtropical summer nights. Historical August baselines show average lows near 25–26°C, but current atmospheric moisture and wind patterns introduce enough variability that minor shifts in shower timing or coverage could easily distinguish between the two leading outcomes. New model runs and observational updates from global ensembles will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,402结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETTrader consensus in this market centers on ensemble forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration projecting an overnight minimum of 26–27°C for Shanghai on August 12, driven by persistent high humidity and scattered showers associated with a tropical rainstorm. These conditions suppress radiative cooling at night by trapping heat under cloud cover, preventing sharper temperature drops typical in clearer, drier subtropical summer nights. Historical August baselines show average lows near 25–26°C, but current atmospheric moisture and wind patterns introduce enough variability that minor shifts in shower timing or coverage could easily distinguish between the two leading outcomes. New model runs and observational updates from global ensembles will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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