Recent numerical weather prediction runs from Météo-France and ECMWF show Paris under stable high pressure with mostly sunny skies and light winds on August 11, supporting daytime maxima near 31–32 °C at official stations such as Paris-Montsouris. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and urban heat-island effects, keeping the 30–33 °C range probable while limiting odds of 34 °C or higher. With resolution two days away, the closely matched market probabilities mirror the remaining forecast uncertainty typical at this lead time; the next model cycles and Météo-France updates will be the key catalysts for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日巴黎气温最高？
8月11日巴黎气温最高？
32°C 33%
31°C 28%
33°C 24%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
16%
31°C
28%
32°C
33%
33°C
24%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
32°C 33%
31°C 28%
33°C 24%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
28°C或以下
$67 交易量
1%
29°C
$67 交易量
1%
30°C
$148 交易量
16%
31°C
$83 交易量
28%
32°C
$107 交易量
33%
33°C
$84 交易量
24%
34°C
$67 交易量
3%
35°C
$84 交易量
1%
36°C
$27 交易量
<1%
37°C
$74 交易量
<1%
38°C或更高
$74 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from Météo-France and ECMWF show Paris under stable high pressure with mostly sunny skies and light winds on August 11, supporting daytime maxima near 31–32 °C at official stations such as Paris-Montsouris. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and urban heat-island effects, keeping the 30–33 °C range probable while limiting odds of 34 °C or higher. With resolution two days away, the closely matched market probabilities mirror the remaining forecast uncertainty typical at this lead time; the next model cycles and Météo-France updates will be the key catalysts for shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$881结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from Météo-France and ECMWF show Paris under stable high pressure with mostly sunny skies and light winds on August 11, supporting daytime maxima near 31–32 °C at official stations such as Paris-Montsouris. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and urban heat-island effects, keeping the 30–33 °C range probable while limiting odds of 34 °C or higher. With resolution two days away, the closely matched market probabilities mirror the remaining forecast uncertainty typical at this lead time; the next model cycles and Météo-France updates will be the key catalysts for shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$881结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction runs from Météo-France and ECMWF show Paris under stable high pressure with mostly sunny skies and light winds on August 11, supporting daytime maxima near 31–32 °C at official stations such as Paris-Montsouris. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and urban heat-island effects, keeping the 30–33 °C range probable while limiting odds of 34 °C or higher. With resolution two days away, the closely matched market probabilities mirror the remaining forecast uncertainty typical at this lead time; the next model cycles and Météo-France updates will be the key catalysts for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题