Recent forecast model runs place Munich's August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of a transient high-pressure ridge that modulates daytime insolation and boundary-layer mixing; slight variations in 850 hPa temperatures and low-level wind speeds can shift peak values by 1–2 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in the diurnal temperature curve, with drier air masses favoring slightly higher readings and any arriving marine influence or increased cloud cover capping the extreme. Official DWD and ECMWF updates over the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日慕尼黑的最高温度？
8月13日慕尼黑的最高温度？
30°C 35%
31°C 34%
29°C 16%
32°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
35%
31°C
34%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 35%
31°C 34%
29°C 16%
32°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
24°C or below
$10 交易量
<1%
25°C
$0 交易量
<1%
26°C
$0 交易量
<1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
6%
29°C
$18 交易量
16%
30°C
$320 交易量
35%
31°C
$12 交易量
34%
32°C
$256 交易量
10%
33°C
$72 交易量
2%
34°C or higher
$56 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs place Munich's August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of a transient high-pressure ridge that modulates daytime insolation and boundary-layer mixing; slight variations in 850 hPa temperatures and low-level wind speeds can shift peak values by 1–2 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in the diurnal temperature curve, with drier air masses favoring slightly higher readings and any arriving marine influence or increased cloud cover capping the extreme. Official DWD and ECMWF updates over the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$743结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs place Munich's August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of a transient high-pressure ridge that modulates daytime insolation and boundary-layer mixing; slight variations in 850 hPa temperatures and low-level wind speeds can shift peak values by 1–2 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in the diurnal temperature curve, with drier air masses favoring slightly higher readings and any arriving marine influence or increased cloud cover capping the extreme. Official DWD and ECMWF updates over the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$743结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent forecast model runs place Munich's August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of a transient high-pressure ridge that modulates daytime insolation and boundary-layer mixing; slight variations in 850 hPa temperatures and low-level wind speeds can shift peak values by 1–2 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in the diurnal temperature curve, with drier air masses favoring slightly higher readings and any arriving marine influence or increased cloud cover capping the extreme. Official DWD and ECMWF updates over the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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