Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources project Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 13 to settle between 24–27°C amid overcast skies, light rain, and elevated humidity that curbs nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with typical late-summer baselines around 25°C while accounting for reduced diurnal ranges from cloud cover. Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C as the mode because ensemble outputs cluster there, with lower odds on extremes reflecting limited variability in current steering patterns and sea-surface influences. Updated model runs overnight and official observations will provide the final resolution data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日上海最低气温?
26°C 53%
25°C 15%
27°C 14%
28°C 5%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
15%
26°C
53%
27°C
14%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
26°C 53%
25°C 15%
27°C 14%
28°C 5%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
15%
26°C
53%
27°C
14%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources project Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 13 to settle between 24–27°C amid overcast skies, light rain, and elevated humidity that curbs nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with typical late-summer baselines around 25°C while accounting for reduced diurnal ranges from cloud cover. Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C as the mode because ensemble outputs cluster there, with lower odds on extremes reflecting limited variability in current steering patterns and sea-surface influences. Updated model runs overnight and official observations will provide the final resolution data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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