Recent forecasts from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and BBC Weather indicate a high near 27–28°C for Jinan on August 12, driven by an approaching frontal system that has already lowered temperatures from early-August heatwave peaks exceeding 35–40°C. Cloud cover and expected thundery showers will limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, consistent with seasonal monsoon influences that typically moderate late-summer maxima. Model consensus points to a maximum in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, supporting the market’s 58% implied probability on 26°C or higher while leaving room for downward revisions if rainfall intensifies. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context for why traders assign only modest weight to outcomes below 25°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日济南气温最高？
8月12日济南气温最高？
26°C or higher 65%
25°C 6%
24°C 5.7%
22°C 1.1%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
65%
26°C or higher 65%
25°C 6%
24°C 5.7%
22°C 1.1%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
16°C or below
$407 交易量
<1%
17°C
$408 交易量
<1%
18°C
$229 交易量
<1%
19°C
$72 交易量
1%
20°C
$79 交易量
1%
21°C
$72 交易量
1%
22°C
$71 交易量
1%
23°C
$115 交易量
1%
24°C
$78 交易量
6%
25°C
$19 交易量
6%
26°C or higher
$235 交易量
65%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and BBC Weather indicate a high near 27–28°C for Jinan on August 12, driven by an approaching frontal system that has already lowered temperatures from early-August heatwave peaks exceeding 35–40°C. Cloud cover and expected thundery showers will limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, consistent with seasonal monsoon influences that typically moderate late-summer maxima. Model consensus points to a maximum in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, supporting the market’s 58% implied probability on 26°C or higher while leaving room for downward revisions if rainfall intensifies. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context for why traders assign only modest weight to outcomes below 25°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,784结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and BBC Weather indicate a high near 27–28°C for Jinan on August 12, driven by an approaching frontal system that has already lowered temperatures from early-August heatwave peaks exceeding 35–40°C. Cloud cover and expected thundery showers will limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, consistent with seasonal monsoon influences that typically moderate late-summer maxima. Model consensus points to a maximum in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, supporting the market’s 58% implied probability on 26°C or higher while leaving room for downward revisions if rainfall intensifies. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context for why traders assign only modest weight to outcomes below 25°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,784结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent forecasts from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and BBC Weather indicate a high near 27–28°C for Jinan on August 12, driven by an approaching frontal system that has already lowered temperatures from early-August heatwave peaks exceeding 35–40°C. Cloud cover and expected thundery showers will limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, consistent with seasonal monsoon influences that typically moderate late-summer maxima. Model consensus points to a maximum in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, supporting the market’s 58% implied probability on 26°C or higher while leaving room for downward revisions if rainfall intensifies. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context for why traders assign only modest weight to outcomes below 25°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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