**Trader consensus centers on a lowest temperature of 23–24°C for Incheon on August 13, reflecting the latest official forecasts amid typical late-summer conditions.** The Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range outlook currently projects a minimum of 25°C under clear skies with minimal precipitation risk, while other models and extended guidance show overnight lows clustering between 21–24°C. This range aligns with August climatology for the region, where average morning lows sit near 23°C as the North Pacific high maintains warm, humid air with limited nocturnal cooling. Ongoing heatwave conditions from early August have kept baseline temperatures elevated, reducing the chance of sharp drops, though any slight model shift toward increased cloud cover or a weak frontal passage could nudge the low downward. With resolution imminent, market-implied probabilities emphasize the narrow window of expected variability around these central values rather than extremes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日首尔(仁川)气温最低?
24°C 50%
23°C 28%
25°C 13%
22°C 10%
18℃或以下
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
22%
24°C
50%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27℃
4%
28°C或以上
1%
24°C 50%
23°C 28%
25°C 13%
22°C 10%
18℃或以下
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
22%
24°C
50%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27℃
4%
28°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus centers on a lowest temperature of 23–24°C for Incheon on August 13, reflecting the latest official forecasts amid typical late-summer conditions.** The Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range outlook currently projects a minimum of 25°C under clear skies with minimal precipitation risk, while other models and extended guidance show overnight lows clustering between 21–24°C. This range aligns with August climatology for the region, where average morning lows sit near 23°C as the North Pacific high maintains warm, humid air with limited nocturnal cooling. Ongoing heatwave conditions from early August have kept baseline temperatures elevated, reducing the chance of sharp drops, though any slight model shift toward increased cloud cover or a weak frontal passage could nudge the low downward. With resolution imminent, market-implied probabilities emphasize the narrow window of expected variability around these central values rather than extremes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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