Current model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to a maximum temperature of 16–17°C in São Paulo on August 11 amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter subsidence under high pressure, with limited moisture and clear skies favoring efficient nighttime radiative cooling. Minor differences between these closely matched outcomes hinge on subtle variables such as daytime wind advection, localized urban heat effects at official stations, and any late adjustments in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August baselines near 23–25°C provide context, yet recent patterns show cooler-than-average readings; traders weigh these factors against potential revisions from updated INMET or NOAA-aligned runs ahead of the daily peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月11日圣保罗的最高温度？
17°C 39%
16°C 33%
18°C 15%
15°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
14%
16°C
33%
17°C
39%
18°C
15%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C或更高
1%
17°C 39%
16°C 33%
18°C 15%
15°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
11°C或以下
$83 交易量
<1%
12°C
$83 交易量
<1%
13°C
$83 交易量
1%
14°C
$83 交易量
2%
15°C
$332 交易量
14%
16°C
$386 交易量
33%
17°C
$249 交易量
39%
18°C
$397 交易量
15%
19°C
$101 交易量
2%
20°C
$95 交易量
2%
21°C或更高
$168 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to a maximum temperature of 16–17°C in São Paulo on August 11 amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter subsidence under high pressure, with limited moisture and clear skies favoring efficient nighttime radiative cooling. Minor differences between these closely matched outcomes hinge on subtle variables such as daytime wind advection, localized urban heat effects at official stations, and any late adjustments in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August baselines near 23–25°C provide context, yet recent patterns show cooler-than-average readings; traders weigh these factors against potential revisions from updated INMET or NOAA-aligned runs ahead of the daily peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$2,060结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to a maximum temperature of 16–17°C in São Paulo on August 11 amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter subsidence under high pressure, with limited moisture and clear skies favoring efficient nighttime radiative cooling. Minor differences between these closely matched outcomes hinge on subtle variables such as daytime wind advection, localized urban heat effects at official stations, and any late adjustments in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August baselines near 23–25°C provide context, yet recent patterns show cooler-than-average readings; traders weigh these factors against potential revisions from updated INMET or NOAA-aligned runs ahead of the daily peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,060结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETCurrent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to a maximum temperature of 16–17°C in São Paulo on August 11 amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter subsidence under high pressure, with limited moisture and clear skies favoring efficient nighttime radiative cooling. Minor differences between these closely matched outcomes hinge on subtle variables such as daytime wind advection, localized urban heat effects at official stations, and any late adjustments in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August baselines near 23–25°C provide context, yet recent patterns show cooler-than-average readings; traders weigh these factors against potential revisions from updated INMET or NOAA-aligned runs ahead of the daily peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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