Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 10 project a mostly cloudy day with a maximum of 31°C in Tokyo, directly underpinning the near-even market-implied odds favoring 31°C or 32°C at 33.5% each. Seasonal Pacific High influence and above-normal temperature trends across central Japan sustain the potential for slight upward deviations, while increased cloud cover and modest precipitation chances introduce uncertainty that could cap the peak near or below 31°C. Historical August baselines around 30–32°C and urban heat effects provide context, with the next JMA model updates likely to refine resolution criteria tied to official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日东京气温最高？
8月10日东京气温最高？
31°C 37%
32°C 33%
30°C 16%
33°C 10%
最新
$10,032 交易量
最新
$10,032 交易量
2026-08-10
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
16%
31°C
37%
32°C
33%
33°C
10%
34°C or higher
5%
31°C 37%
32°C 33%
30°C 16%
33°C 10%
最新
$10,032 交易量
最新
$10,032 交易量
2026-08-10
24°C or below
$472 交易量
<1%
25°C
$474 交易量
<1%
26°C
$342 交易量
<1%
27°C
$299 交易量
<1%
28°C
$944 交易量
1%
29°C
$542 交易量
5%
30°C
$767 交易量
16%
31°C
$1,138 交易量
37%
32°C
$1,417 交易量
33%
33°C
$1,344 交易量
10%
34°C or higher
$2,295 交易量
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 10 project a mostly cloudy day with a maximum of 31°C in Tokyo, directly underpinning the near-even market-implied odds favoring 31°C or 32°C at 33.5% each. Seasonal Pacific High influence and above-normal temperature trends across central Japan sustain the potential for slight upward deviations, while increased cloud cover and modest precipitation chances introduce uncertainty that could cap the peak near or below 31°C. Historical August baselines around 30–32°C and urban heat effects provide context, with the next JMA model updates likely to refine resolution criteria tied to official observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$10,032结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 10 project a mostly cloudy day with a maximum of 31°C in Tokyo, directly underpinning the near-even market-implied odds favoring 31°C or 32°C at 33.5% each. Seasonal Pacific High influence and above-normal temperature trends across central Japan sustain the potential for slight upward deviations, while increased cloud cover and modest precipitation chances introduce uncertainty that could cap the peak near or below 31°C. Historical August baselines around 30–32°C and urban heat effects provide context, with the next JMA model updates likely to refine resolution criteria tied to official observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,032结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 10 project a mostly cloudy day with a maximum of 31°C in Tokyo, directly underpinning the near-even market-implied odds favoring 31°C or 32°C at 33.5% each. Seasonal Pacific High influence and above-normal temperature trends across central Japan sustain the potential for slight upward deviations, while increased cloud cover and modest precipitation chances introduce uncertainty that could cap the peak near or below 31°C. Historical August baselines around 30–32°C and urban heat effects provide context, with the next JMA model updates likely to refine resolution criteria tied to official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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