**Trader consensus favors a 30–31°C high in Busan on August 12, with 31°C holding a narrow 36.5% edge over 30°C at 34.5%.** Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models shows partly cloudy to broken-cloud conditions under the influence of the North Pacific High, delivering daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 29–31°C after earlier August heatwaves exceeded 38°C under clearer skies. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity are expected to limit further warming, while any reduction in cloud cover or shifts in wind direction could add 1°C. The tight spread between the two leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with fresh model runs and KMA updates likely to sharpen resolution criteria before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日釜山气温最高？
8月12日釜山气温最高？
31°C 37%
30°C 34%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
34%
31°C
37%
32°C
19%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C或更高
1%
31°C 37%
30°C 34%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
25°C或以下
$99 交易量
<1%
26°C
$109 交易量
<1%
27°C
$99 交易量
1%
28°C
$104 交易量
2%
29°C
$99 交易量
9%
30°C
$994 交易量
34%
31°C
$204 交易量
37%
32°C
$148 交易量
19%
33°C
$115 交易量
6%
34°C
$0 交易量
2%
35°C或更高
$158 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus favors a 30–31°C high in Busan on August 12, with 31°C holding a narrow 36.5% edge over 30°C at 34.5%.** Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models shows partly cloudy to broken-cloud conditions under the influence of the North Pacific High, delivering daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 29–31°C after earlier August heatwaves exceeded 38°C under clearer skies. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity are expected to limit further warming, while any reduction in cloud cover or shifts in wind direction could add 1°C. The tight spread between the two leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with fresh model runs and KMA updates likely to sharpen resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$2,130结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus favors a 30–31°C high in Busan on August 12, with 31°C holding a narrow 36.5% edge over 30°C at 34.5%.** Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models shows partly cloudy to broken-cloud conditions under the influence of the North Pacific High, delivering daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 29–31°C after earlier August heatwaves exceeded 38°C under clearer skies. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity are expected to limit further warming, while any reduction in cloud cover or shifts in wind direction could add 1°C. The tight spread between the two leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with fresh model runs and KMA updates likely to sharpen resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,130结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET**Trader consensus favors a 30–31°C high in Busan on August 12, with 31°C holding a narrow 36.5% edge over 30°C at 34.5%.** Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models shows partly cloudy to broken-cloud conditions under the influence of the North Pacific High, delivering daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 29–31°C after earlier August heatwaves exceeded 38°C under clearer skies. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity are expected to limit further warming, while any reduction in cloud cover or shifts in wind direction could add 1°C. The tight spread between the two leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with fresh model runs and KMA updates likely to sharpen resolution criteria before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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