**Ensemble weather models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate the overnight low for Seoul/Incheon on August 12 will likely settle near 21–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds.** These conditions promote moderate radiational cooling after sunset, with surface temperatures dropping from daytime highs near 33–34°C amid typical late-summer humidity levels around 70%. Minor differences between leading outcomes stem from small variations in forecast cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the exact minimum by 1°C; ensemble spreads in short-range guidance reflect this uncertainty two days out. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows near 23°C, so current patterns align with slightly cooler-than-average nights driven by high-pressure dominance. Traders weigh upcoming model runs and official KMA updates, which resolve the market based on the official Incheon station minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
8月12日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
22°C 35%
21°C 34%
23°C 18%
20°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
11%
21°C
34%
22°C
35%
23°C
18%
24°C
7%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
2%
22°C 35%
21°C 34%
23°C 18%
20°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
16°C or below
$34 交易量
<1%
17°C
$34 交易量
1%
18°C
$34 交易量
3%
19°C
$8 交易量
6%
20°C
$63 交易量
11%
21°C
$0 交易量
34%
22°C
$0 交易量
35%
23°C
$12 交易量
18%
24°C
$0 交易量
7%
25°C
$0 交易量
5%
26°C or higher
$12 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ensemble weather models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate the overnight low for Seoul/Incheon on August 12 will likely settle near 21–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds.** These conditions promote moderate radiational cooling after sunset, with surface temperatures dropping from daytime highs near 33–34°C amid typical late-summer humidity levels around 70%. Minor differences between leading outcomes stem from small variations in forecast cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the exact minimum by 1°C; ensemble spreads in short-range guidance reflect this uncertainty two days out. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows near 23°C, so current patterns align with slightly cooler-than-average nights driven by high-pressure dominance. Traders weigh upcoming model runs and official KMA updates, which resolve the market based on the official Incheon station minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$196结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ensemble weather models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate the overnight low for Seoul/Incheon on August 12 will likely settle near 21–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds.** These conditions promote moderate radiational cooling after sunset, with surface temperatures dropping from daytime highs near 33–34°C amid typical late-summer humidity levels around 70%. Minor differences between leading outcomes stem from small variations in forecast cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the exact minimum by 1°C; ensemble spreads in short-range guidance reflect this uncertainty two days out. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows near 23°C, so current patterns align with slightly cooler-than-average nights driven by high-pressure dominance. Traders weigh upcoming model runs and official KMA updates, which resolve the market based on the official Incheon station minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$196结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Ensemble weather models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate the overnight low for Seoul/Incheon on August 12 will likely settle near 21–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds.** These conditions promote moderate radiational cooling after sunset, with surface temperatures dropping from daytime highs near 33–34°C amid typical late-summer humidity levels around 70%. Minor differences between leading outcomes stem from small variations in forecast cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the exact minimum by 1°C; ensemble spreads in short-range guidance reflect this uncertainty two days out. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows near 23°C, so current patterns align with slightly cooler-than-average nights driven by high-pressure dominance. Traders weigh upcoming model runs and official KMA updates, which resolve the market based on the official Incheon station minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题