Jeddah's peak August heat stems from intense solar radiation near the summer solstice combined with high humidity from the adjacent Red Sea, which limits nocturnal cooling and elevates daily maxima. Long-term climatology shows average highs near 37–38°C, with occasional spikes above 40°C driven by weak steering winds or regional heat advection. Current forecasts through mid-month indicate potential for 39–41°C readings on August 13 amid stable high-pressure patterns, supporting the market's leading 41°C-or-higher outcome at 42% implied probability. Model consensus remains moderate due to typical variability in Red Sea moisture and wind regimes, keeping 39°C and 38°C viable at 19% and 14.5% respectively. Traders weigh official meteorological agency guidance on diurnal ranges and any late adjustments to upper-level ridging that could push or cap extremes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日吉达的最高温度?
41°C或更高 43%
39°C 18%
40°C 16%
38°C 14%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
6%
38°C
14%
39°C
18%
40°C
16%
41°C或更高
43%
41°C或更高 43%
39°C 18%
40°C 16%
38°C 14%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
6%
38°C
14%
39°C
18%
40°C
16%
41°C或更高
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Jeddah's peak August heat stems from intense solar radiation near the summer solstice combined with high humidity from the adjacent Red Sea, which limits nocturnal cooling and elevates daily maxima. Long-term climatology shows average highs near 37–38°C, with occasional spikes above 40°C driven by weak steering winds or regional heat advection. Current forecasts through mid-month indicate potential for 39–41°C readings on August 13 amid stable high-pressure patterns, supporting the market's leading 41°C-or-higher outcome at 42% implied probability. Model consensus remains moderate due to typical variability in Red Sea moisture and wind regimes, keeping 39°C and 38°C viable at 19% and 14.5% respectively. Traders weigh official meteorological agency guidance on diurnal ranges and any late adjustments to upper-level ridging that could push or cap extremes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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