Current forecast consensus from numerical weather prediction models positions 33°C as the most probable peak daytime temperature in Tel Aviv on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and intense solar insolation typical of midsummer conditions. This setup favors above-normal readings relative to the long-term August average of roughly 30–31°C, with ensemble guidance clustering daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius and limited spread from minor variations in timing of peak heating or boundary-layer mixing. The market-implied odds—56.5% for 33°C and 38% for 34°C—reflect aggregated trader assessment of this narrow uncertainty band, while lower probabilities for 35°C or cooler outcomes align with the low likelihood of significant model shifts or unexpected synoptic changes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日特拉维夫的最高温度？
8月13日特拉维夫的最高温度？
33°C 56%
34°C 36%
32°C 7%
35°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
56%
34°C
36%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
34°C 36%
32°C 7%
35°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
29°C or below
$26 交易量
<1%
30°C
$222 交易量
1%
31°C
$41 交易量
1%
32°C
$91 交易量
7%
33°C
$280 交易量
56%
34°C
$166 交易量
36%
35°C
$102 交易量
5%
36°C
$39 交易量
1%
37°C
$58 交易量
1%
38°C
$206 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$171 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from numerical weather prediction models positions 33°C as the most probable peak daytime temperature in Tel Aviv on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and intense solar insolation typical of midsummer conditions. This setup favors above-normal readings relative to the long-term August average of roughly 30–31°C, with ensemble guidance clustering daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius and limited spread from minor variations in timing of peak heating or boundary-layer mixing. The market-implied odds—56.5% for 33°C and 38% for 34°C—reflect aggregated trader assessment of this narrow uncertainty band, while lower probabilities for 35°C or cooler outcomes align with the low likelihood of significant model shifts or unexpected synoptic changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,401结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from numerical weather prediction models positions 33°C as the most probable peak daytime temperature in Tel Aviv on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and intense solar insolation typical of midsummer conditions. This setup favors above-normal readings relative to the long-term August average of roughly 30–31°C, with ensemble guidance clustering daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius and limited spread from minor variations in timing of peak heating or boundary-layer mixing. The market-implied odds—56.5% for 33°C and 38% for 34°C—reflect aggregated trader assessment of this narrow uncertainty band, while lower probabilities for 35°C or cooler outcomes align with the low likelihood of significant model shifts or unexpected synoptic changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,401结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from numerical weather prediction models positions 33°C as the most probable peak daytime temperature in Tel Aviv on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and intense solar insolation typical of midsummer conditions. This setup favors above-normal readings relative to the long-term August average of roughly 30–31°C, with ensemble guidance clustering daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius and limited spread from minor variations in timing of peak heating or boundary-layer mixing. The market-implied odds—56.5% for 33°C and 38% for 34°C—reflect aggregated trader assessment of this narrow uncertainty band, while lower probabilities for 35°C or cooler outcomes align with the low likelihood of significant model shifts or unexpected synoptic changes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题