Recent meteorological forecasts indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia will produce mostly clear skies and light winds, positioning Ankara's August 14 high near 28°C according to ensemble means from global and regional models. This consensus drives the 48.5% market-implied probability for 28°C and 26% for 29°C, as traders incorporate limited spread in numerical weather prediction outputs showing only modest variability from dry adiabatic warming and minimal moisture advection. Historical mid-August baselines near 29°C provide context, yet current subsidence and lack of convective triggers support the slight downward tilt reflected in the odds. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could adjust these probabilities if atmospheric conditions shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日安卡拉的最高温度？
8月14日安卡拉的最高温度？
28°C 49%
29°C 26%
27°C 16%
26°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
49%
29°C
26%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 49%
29°C 26%
27°C 16%
26°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
23°C or below
$105 交易量
<1%
24°C
$23 交易量
<1%
25°C
$10 交易量
4%
26°C
$34 交易量
6%
27°C
$73 交易量
16%
28°C
$92 交易量
49%
29°C
$92 交易量
26%
30°C
$40 交易量
5%
31°C
$310 交易量
2%
32°C
$22 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$243 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia will produce mostly clear skies and light winds, positioning Ankara's August 14 high near 28°C according to ensemble means from global and regional models. This consensus drives the 48.5% market-implied probability for 28°C and 26% for 29°C, as traders incorporate limited spread in numerical weather prediction outputs showing only modest variability from dry adiabatic warming and minimal moisture advection. Historical mid-August baselines near 29°C provide context, yet current subsidence and lack of convective triggers support the slight downward tilt reflected in the odds. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could adjust these probabilities if atmospheric conditions shift.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,025结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia will produce mostly clear skies and light winds, positioning Ankara's August 14 high near 28°C according to ensemble means from global and regional models. This consensus drives the 48.5% market-implied probability for 28°C and 26% for 29°C, as traders incorporate limited spread in numerical weather prediction outputs showing only modest variability from dry adiabatic warming and minimal moisture advection. Historical mid-August baselines near 29°C provide context, yet current subsidence and lack of convective triggers support the slight downward tilt reflected in the odds. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could adjust these probabilities if atmospheric conditions shift.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,025结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent meteorological forecasts indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia will produce mostly clear skies and light winds, positioning Ankara's August 14 high near 28°C according to ensemble means from global and regional models. This consensus drives the 48.5% market-implied probability for 28°C and 26% for 29°C, as traders incorporate limited spread in numerical weather prediction outputs showing only modest variability from dry adiabatic warming and minimal moisture advection. Historical mid-August baselines near 29°C provide context, yet current subsidence and lack of convective triggers support the slight downward tilt reflected in the odds. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could adjust these probabilities if atmospheric conditions shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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