Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs indicate a high-pressure ridge and southeasterly flow advecting warm continental air over the Netherlands, favoring daytime maxima of 32–34 °C in Amsterdam on August 14 under mostly clear skies. Model spread around cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact ridge positioning keeps the three leading outcomes tightly bunched, with 33 °C slightly ahead due to more members showing peak insolation. Ongoing European heatwave conditions since late July provide elevated baseline warmth, yet short-range uncertainty in local sea-breeze effects and any late-day convection could shift the recorded high by 1–2 °C. Updated deterministic runs and KNMI guidance expected tomorrow will further refine resolution probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
8月14日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
33°C 32%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
22%
33°C
32%
34°C
28%
35°C
9%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C或更高
1%
33°C 32%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
28°C或以下
$671 交易量
1%
29°C
$177 交易量
2%
30°C
$159 交易量
4%
31°C
$233 交易量
8%
32°C
$35 交易量
22%
33°C
$38 交易量
32%
34°C
$34 交易量
28%
35°C
$50 交易量
9%
36°C
$105 交易量
1%
37°C
$5 交易量
1%
38°C或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs indicate a high-pressure ridge and southeasterly flow advecting warm continental air over the Netherlands, favoring daytime maxima of 32–34 °C in Amsterdam on August 14 under mostly clear skies. Model spread around cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact ridge positioning keeps the three leading outcomes tightly bunched, with 33 °C slightly ahead due to more members showing peak insolation. Ongoing European heatwave conditions since late July provide elevated baseline warmth, yet short-range uncertainty in local sea-breeze effects and any late-day convection could shift the recorded high by 1–2 °C. Updated deterministic runs and KNMI guidance expected tomorrow will further refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,477结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs indicate a high-pressure ridge and southeasterly flow advecting warm continental air over the Netherlands, favoring daytime maxima of 32–34 °C in Amsterdam on August 14 under mostly clear skies. Model spread around cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact ridge positioning keeps the three leading outcomes tightly bunched, with 33 °C slightly ahead due to more members showing peak insolation. Ongoing European heatwave conditions since late July provide elevated baseline warmth, yet short-range uncertainty in local sea-breeze effects and any late-day convection could shift the recorded high by 1–2 °C. Updated deterministic runs and KNMI guidance expected tomorrow will further refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,477结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs indicate a high-pressure ridge and southeasterly flow advecting warm continental air over the Netherlands, favoring daytime maxima of 32–34 °C in Amsterdam on August 14 under mostly clear skies. Model spread around cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact ridge positioning keeps the three leading outcomes tightly bunched, with 33 °C slightly ahead due to more members showing peak insolation. Ongoing European heatwave conditions since late July provide elevated baseline warmth, yet short-range uncertainty in local sea-breeze effects and any late-day convection could shift the recorded high by 1–2 °C. Updated deterministic runs and KNMI guidance expected tomorrow will further refine resolution probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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