Persistent Pacific subtropical high pressure has maintained clear skies and strong solar heating across northern Taiwan, supporting peak temperatures near or above 36–37°C at the Taipei Songshan station. Recent model runs from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration show limited diurnal cooling and high humidity that reduces nighttime heat loss, while the urban heat island effect further elevates readings. With no typhoon or frontal intrusion expected through the day, trader consensus clusters on the 36–37°C band as the most probable outcome under current climatological conditions for mid-August.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日台北气温最高?
37°C 40%
36°C 38%
35°C 16%
38°C 8%
$30,825 交易量
$30,825 交易量
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
16%
36°C
38%
37°C
40%
38°C
8%
39°C or higher
<1%
37°C 40%
36°C 38%
35°C 16%
38°C 8%
$30,825 交易量
$30,825 交易量
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
16%
36°C
38%
37°C
40%
38°C
8%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent Pacific subtropical high pressure has maintained clear skies and strong solar heating across northern Taiwan, supporting peak temperatures near or above 36–37°C at the Taipei Songshan station. Recent model runs from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration show limited diurnal cooling and high humidity that reduces nighttime heat loss, while the urban heat island effect further elevates readings. With no typhoon or frontal intrusion expected through the day, trader consensus clusters on the 36–37°C band as the most probable outcome under current climatological conditions for mid-August.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题