Trader consensus on the San Francisco highest temperature for August 13 centers on 66-69°F ranges because official National Weather Service and model guidance project a moderate high under persistent marine layer influence typical of mid-August along the coast. San Francisco’s location exposes it to cool Pacific air and onshore flow that caps daytime warming, with climatological August highs averaging near 70°F but frequently held to the mid-60s when stratus or fog lingers into the afternoon. Recent model runs show no strong offshore warming or heat advection, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these bins while leaving modest probability for slight upward revision if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Updated National Weather Service forecasts and satellite trends tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日旧金山气温最高?
66-67°F 38%
68-69°F 28%
64-65°F 14%
70-71°F 10%
57°F或以下
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
38%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
1%
76°F或更高
<1%
66-67°F 38%
68-69°F 28%
64-65°F 14%
70-71°F 10%
57°F或以下
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
38%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
1%
76°F或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus on the San Francisco highest temperature for August 13 centers on 66-69°F ranges because official National Weather Service and model guidance project a moderate high under persistent marine layer influence typical of mid-August along the coast. San Francisco’s location exposes it to cool Pacific air and onshore flow that caps daytime warming, with climatological August highs averaging near 70°F but frequently held to the mid-60s when stratus or fog lingers into the afternoon. Recent model runs show no strong offshore warming or heat advection, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these bins while leaving modest probability for slight upward revision if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Updated National Weather Service forecasts and satellite trends tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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