Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a warming trend for São Paulo on August 13, with daytime maxima projected in the upper 20s to low 30s °C under broken cloud cover and minimal precipitation. This follows a cooler air mass and frontal passage earlier in the week that suppressed highs to around 18–23 °C. Subtropical ridging and reduced cloud cover are expected to enhance solar insolation and warm advection, pushing temperatures above the August climatological average of 23–25 °C. Model outputs show a tight cluster around 28–31 °C, with limited upside risk from stronger heating or downside from lingering moisture. Traders have priced the 29–31 °C outcomes highest because these align with the current consensus range from operational forecasts, while extremes remain low-probability given the moderate setup and typical winter boundary-layer conditions. Updated model runs and official agency guidance on the 12th–13th will be the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月13日圣保罗的最高温度？
29°C 42%
30°C 27%
31°C 18%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
42%
30°C
27%
31°C
18%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 42%
30°C 27%
31°C 18%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
24°C or below
$37 交易量
<1%
25°C
$33 交易量
1%
26°C
$29 交易量
1%
27°C
$23 交易量
5%
28°C
$168 交易量
8%
29°C
$238 交易量
42%
30°C
$120 交易量
27%
31°C
$83 交易量
18%
32°C
$25 交易量
2%
33°C
$2 交易量
3%
34°C or higher
$66 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a warming trend for São Paulo on August 13, with daytime maxima projected in the upper 20s to low 30s °C under broken cloud cover and minimal precipitation. This follows a cooler air mass and frontal passage earlier in the week that suppressed highs to around 18–23 °C. Subtropical ridging and reduced cloud cover are expected to enhance solar insolation and warm advection, pushing temperatures above the August climatological average of 23–25 °C. Model outputs show a tight cluster around 28–31 °C, with limited upside risk from stronger heating or downside from lingering moisture. Traders have priced the 29–31 °C outcomes highest because these align with the current consensus range from operational forecasts, while extremes remain low-probability given the moderate setup and typical winter boundary-layer conditions. Updated model runs and official agency guidance on the 12th–13th will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
交易量
$825结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a warming trend for São Paulo on August 13, with daytime maxima projected in the upper 20s to low 30s °C under broken cloud cover and minimal precipitation. This follows a cooler air mass and frontal passage earlier in the week that suppressed highs to around 18–23 °C. Subtropical ridging and reduced cloud cover are expected to enhance solar insolation and warm advection, pushing temperatures above the August climatological average of 23–25 °C. Model outputs show a tight cluster around 28–31 °C, with limited upside risk from stronger heating or downside from lingering moisture. Traders have priced the 29–31 °C outcomes highest because these align with the current consensus range from operational forecasts, while extremes remain low-probability given the moderate setup and typical winter boundary-layer conditions. Updated model runs and official agency guidance on the 12th–13th will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$825结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a warming trend for São Paulo on August 13, with daytime maxima projected in the upper 20s to low 30s °C under broken cloud cover and minimal precipitation. This follows a cooler air mass and frontal passage earlier in the week that suppressed highs to around 18–23 °C. Subtropical ridging and reduced cloud cover are expected to enhance solar insolation and warm advection, pushing temperatures above the August climatological average of 23–25 °C. Model outputs show a tight cluster around 28–31 °C, with limited upside risk from stronger heating or downside from lingering moisture. Traders have priced the 29–31 °C outcomes highest because these align with the current consensus range from operational forecasts, while extremes remain low-probability given the moderate setup and typical winter boundary-layer conditions. Updated model runs and official agency guidance on the 12th–13th will be the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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