Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting European model guidance indicate a peak of 35–36 °C in Paris on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and modest southerly flow. These conditions favor strong daytime heating ahead of a slightly warmer Thursday. Traders have priced the 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes at 49.5 % and 35 % respectively, consistent with ensemble consensus around that narrow range while acknowledging typical model spread and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2 °C to official readings. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market-implied distribution tightly centered on these two values.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日巴黎气温最高？
8月12日巴黎气温最高？
35°C 51%
36°C 34%
34°C 9%
37°C 6%
最新
$12,354 交易量
最新
$12,354 交易量
2026-08-12
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
9%
35°C
51%
36°C
34%
37°C
6%
38°C
2%
39°C或更高
<1%
35°C 51%
36°C 34%
34°C 9%
37°C 6%
最新
$12,354 交易量
最新
$12,354 交易量
2026-08-12
29°C或以下
$1,994 交易量
<1%
30°C
$320 交易量
<1%
31°C
$861 交易量
<1%
32°C
$444 交易量
1%
33°C
$850 交易量
3%
34°C
$1,364 交易量
9%
35°C
$2,978 交易量
51%
36°C
$1,664 交易量
34%
37°C
$1,018 交易量
6%
38°C
$481 交易量
2%
39°C或更高
$380 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting European model guidance indicate a peak of 35–36 °C in Paris on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and modest southerly flow. These conditions favor strong daytime heating ahead of a slightly warmer Thursday. Traders have priced the 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes at 49.5 % and 35 % respectively, consistent with ensemble consensus around that narrow range while acknowledging typical model spread and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2 °C to official readings. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market-implied distribution tightly centered on these two values.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$12,354结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting European model guidance indicate a peak of 35–36 °C in Paris on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and modest southerly flow. These conditions favor strong daytime heating ahead of a slightly warmer Thursday. Traders have priced the 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes at 49.5 % and 35 % respectively, consistent with ensemble consensus around that narrow range while acknowledging typical model spread and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2 °C to official readings. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market-implied distribution tightly centered on these two values.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,354结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETLatest official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting European model guidance indicate a peak of 35–36 °C in Paris on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and modest southerly flow. These conditions favor strong daytime heating ahead of a slightly warmer Thursday. Traders have priced the 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes at 49.5 % and 35 % respectively, consistent with ensemble consensus around that narrow range while acknowledging typical model spread and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2 °C to official readings. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market-implied distribution tightly centered on these two values.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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