Recent model guidance and observational trends position 25–26°C as the leading outcomes for Mexico City’s August 12 maximum, reflecting the city’s 2,240-meter elevation and the peak of the rainy season when afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers routinely cap daytime heating. Long-term August climatology shows average highs near 24°C, with recent daily maxima fluctuating between 23–26°C amid variable moisture and convective activity that reduces solar insolation. An ongoing El Niño episode has contributed to broader regional warmth, yet local steering patterns and typical orographic cloud formation keep extremes below 28°C probable. Updated short-range forecasts from official agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution, underscoring the sensitivity of the market to the latest convective and temperature guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日墨西哥城气温最高？
8月12日墨西哥城气温最高？
25°C 45%
26°C 33%
24°C 11%
27°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
45%
26°C
33%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C或更高
1%
25°C 45%
26°C 33%
24°C 11%
27°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
19°C或以下
$262 交易量
<1%
20°C
$198 交易量
<1%
21°C
$286 交易量
<1%
22°C
$45 交易量
2%
23°C
$369 交易量
4%
24°C
$490 交易量
11%
25°C
$574 交易量
45%
26°C
$602 交易量
33%
27°C
$187 交易量
6%
28°C
$174 交易量
3%
29°C或更高
$231 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and observational trends position 25–26°C as the leading outcomes for Mexico City’s August 12 maximum, reflecting the city’s 2,240-meter elevation and the peak of the rainy season when afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers routinely cap daytime heating. Long-term August climatology shows average highs near 24°C, with recent daily maxima fluctuating between 23–26°C amid variable moisture and convective activity that reduces solar insolation. An ongoing El Niño episode has contributed to broader regional warmth, yet local steering patterns and typical orographic cloud formation keep extremes below 28°C probable. Updated short-range forecasts from official agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution, underscoring the sensitivity of the market to the latest convective and temperature guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$3,416结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and observational trends position 25–26°C as the leading outcomes for Mexico City’s August 12 maximum, reflecting the city’s 2,240-meter elevation and the peak of the rainy season when afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers routinely cap daytime heating. Long-term August climatology shows average highs near 24°C, with recent daily maxima fluctuating between 23–26°C amid variable moisture and convective activity that reduces solar insolation. An ongoing El Niño episode has contributed to broader regional warmth, yet local steering patterns and typical orographic cloud formation keep extremes below 28°C probable. Updated short-range forecasts from official agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution, underscoring the sensitivity of the market to the latest convective and temperature guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,416结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETRecent model guidance and observational trends position 25–26°C as the leading outcomes for Mexico City’s August 12 maximum, reflecting the city’s 2,240-meter elevation and the peak of the rainy season when afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers routinely cap daytime heating. Long-term August climatology shows average highs near 24°C, with recent daily maxima fluctuating between 23–26°C amid variable moisture and convective activity that reduces solar insolation. An ongoing El Niño episode has contributed to broader regional warmth, yet local steering patterns and typical orographic cloud formation keep extremes below 28°C probable. Updated short-range forecasts from official agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution, underscoring the sensitivity of the market to the latest convective and temperature guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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