Persistent marine layer clouds and strong onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant drivers keeping the implied probability highest for a 76–77°F peak at the official Los Angeles station on August 12. National Weather Service point forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) currently project a high near 76°F under continued stratus and sea-breeze influence, consistent with post-heat-wave moderation after earlier inland extremes. This coastal suppression typically caps daytime warming 5–10°F below seasonal August averages of 84–85°F. Model consensus shows limited inland penetration of drier air through the date, though any overnight thinning of the marine layer could allow modest warming toward the 78–79°F bin. Traders are weighting these atmospheric patterns and the narrow resolution window against historical coastal variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日洛杉矶气温最高？
8月12日洛杉矶气温最高？
76-77°F 61%
78-79°F 19%
74-75°F 16%
72-73°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
61%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 61%
78-79°F 19%
74-75°F 16%
72-73°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
67°F或以下
$380 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$77 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$50 交易量
2%
72-73°F
$234 交易量
4%
74-75°F
$768 交易量
16%
76-77°F
$1,104 交易量
61%
78-79°F
$530 交易量
19%
80-81°F
$58 交易量
4%
82-83°F
$97 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$276 交易量
<1%
86°F或更高
$623 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer clouds and strong onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant drivers keeping the implied probability highest for a 76–77°F peak at the official Los Angeles station on August 12. National Weather Service point forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) currently project a high near 76°F under continued stratus and sea-breeze influence, consistent with post-heat-wave moderation after earlier inland extremes. This coastal suppression typically caps daytime warming 5–10°F below seasonal August averages of 84–85°F. Model consensus shows limited inland penetration of drier air through the date, though any overnight thinning of the marine layer could allow modest warming toward the 78–79°F bin. Traders are weighting these atmospheric patterns and the narrow resolution window against historical coastal variability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$4,196结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer clouds and strong onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant drivers keeping the implied probability highest for a 76–77°F peak at the official Los Angeles station on August 12. National Weather Service point forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) currently project a high near 76°F under continued stratus and sea-breeze influence, consistent with post-heat-wave moderation after earlier inland extremes. This coastal suppression typically caps daytime warming 5–10°F below seasonal August averages of 84–85°F. Model consensus shows limited inland penetration of drier air through the date, though any overnight thinning of the marine layer could allow modest warming toward the 78–79°F bin. Traders are weighting these atmospheric patterns and the narrow resolution window against historical coastal variability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,196结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETPersistent marine layer clouds and strong onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant drivers keeping the implied probability highest for a 76–77°F peak at the official Los Angeles station on August 12. National Weather Service point forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) currently project a high near 76°F under continued stratus and sea-breeze influence, consistent with post-heat-wave moderation after earlier inland extremes. This coastal suppression typically caps daytime warming 5–10°F below seasonal August averages of 84–85°F. Model consensus shows limited inland penetration of drier air through the date, though any overnight thinning of the marine layer could allow modest warming toward the 78–79°F bin. Traders are weighting these atmospheric patterns and the narrow resolution window against historical coastal variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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