A persistent high-pressure system over central Argentina is driving the market's emphasis on 11–13°C maxima for Buenos Aires on August 12, as consensus runs from the GFS and ECMWF models show limited warm-air advection from the north alongside strong nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies. These conditions align with typical Southern Hemisphere winter patterns, where August climatological highs average near 17°C but current subsidence and stable air masses suppress daytime warming. Recent model guidance reinforces this cooler regime, keeping implied probabilities concentrated around the 12°C outcome while acknowledging small uncertainties from potential timing shifts in the ridge or minor cloud increases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
8月12日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
12°C 41%
13°C 24%
11°C 21%
14°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
9°C or below
3%
10°C
6%
11°C
21%
12°C
41%
13°C
24%
14°C
9%
15°C
7%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 41%
13°C 24%
11°C 21%
14°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
9°C or below
$72 交易量
3%
10°C
$246 交易量
6%
11°C
$496 交易量
21%
12°C
$1,021 交易量
41%
13°C
$185 交易量
24%
14°C
$21 交易量
9%
15°C
$32 交易量
7%
16°C
$95 交易量
2%
17°C
$19 交易量
<1%
18°C
$19 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$19 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent high-pressure system over central Argentina is driving the market's emphasis on 11–13°C maxima for Buenos Aires on August 12, as consensus runs from the GFS and ECMWF models show limited warm-air advection from the north alongside strong nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies. These conditions align with typical Southern Hemisphere winter patterns, where August climatological highs average near 17°C but current subsidence and stable air masses suppress daytime warming. Recent model guidance reinforces this cooler regime, keeping implied probabilities concentrated around the 12°C outcome while acknowledging small uncertainties from potential timing shifts in the ridge or minor cloud increases.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$2,224结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent high-pressure system over central Argentina is driving the market's emphasis on 11–13°C maxima for Buenos Aires on August 12, as consensus runs from the GFS and ECMWF models show limited warm-air advection from the north alongside strong nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies. These conditions align with typical Southern Hemisphere winter patterns, where August climatological highs average near 17°C but current subsidence and stable air masses suppress daytime warming. Recent model guidance reinforces this cooler regime, keeping implied probabilities concentrated around the 12°C outcome while acknowledging small uncertainties from potential timing shifts in the ridge or minor cloud increases.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,224结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETA persistent high-pressure system over central Argentina is driving the market's emphasis on 11–13°C maxima for Buenos Aires on August 12, as consensus runs from the GFS and ECMWF models show limited warm-air advection from the north alongside strong nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies. These conditions align with typical Southern Hemisphere winter patterns, where August climatological highs average near 17°C but current subsidence and stable air masses suppress daytime warming. Recent model guidance reinforces this cooler regime, keeping implied probabilities concentrated around the 12°C outcome while acknowledging small uncertainties from potential timing shifts in the ridge or minor cloud increases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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