Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to overnight lows near 81°F for Miami on August 12, driven by persistently warm Atlantic and Gulf waters, high boundary-layer humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under the subtropical ridge. These conditions produce the narrow 80–83°F clustering seen in market-implied odds, with the 80–81°F bin edging ahead due to slight model consensus on modest cloud cover reducing heat retention. Historical August climatology shows average lows of 78–79°F, yet recent observations and seasonal sea-surface temperature anomalies have kept readings elevated; any increase in easterly flow or clearer skies could allow the 78–79°F range to gain ground before official Miami International Airport observations finalize resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日迈阿密最低气温？
8月12日迈阿密最低气温？
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 22%
76-77°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 22%
76-77°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
71°F或以下
$8 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$44 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$77 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$38 交易量
6%
78-79°F
$19 交易量
22%
80-81°F
$59 交易量
41%
82-83°F
$109 交易量
31%
84-85°F
$19 交易量
4%
86-87°F
$300 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$8 交易量
1%
90°F或更高
$8 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to overnight lows near 81°F for Miami on August 12, driven by persistently warm Atlantic and Gulf waters, high boundary-layer humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under the subtropical ridge. These conditions produce the narrow 80–83°F clustering seen in market-implied odds, with the 80–81°F bin edging ahead due to slight model consensus on modest cloud cover reducing heat retention. Historical August climatology shows average lows of 78–79°F, yet recent observations and seasonal sea-surface temperature anomalies have kept readings elevated; any increase in easterly flow or clearer skies could allow the 78–79°F range to gain ground before official Miami International Airport observations finalize resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$688结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to overnight lows near 81°F for Miami on August 12, driven by persistently warm Atlantic and Gulf waters, high boundary-layer humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under the subtropical ridge. These conditions produce the narrow 80–83°F clustering seen in market-implied odds, with the 80–81°F bin edging ahead due to slight model consensus on modest cloud cover reducing heat retention. Historical August climatology shows average lows of 78–79°F, yet recent observations and seasonal sea-surface temperature anomalies have kept readings elevated; any increase in easterly flow or clearer skies could allow the 78–79°F range to gain ground before official Miami International Airport observations finalize resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$688结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to overnight lows near 81°F for Miami on August 12, driven by persistently warm Atlantic and Gulf waters, high boundary-layer humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under the subtropical ridge. These conditions produce the narrow 80–83°F clustering seen in market-implied odds, with the 80–81°F bin edging ahead due to slight model consensus on modest cloud cover reducing heat retention. Historical August climatology shows average lows of 78–79°F, yet recent observations and seasonal sea-surface temperature anomalies have kept readings elevated; any increase in easterly flow or clearer skies could allow the 78–79°F range to gain ground before official Miami International Airport observations finalize resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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